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Sugar Rally Ready for Retracement

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Mar 20 sugar futures follow through yesterdays negative reversal amid crashing oil prices and Coronavirus precautions. Yesterdays prices poked higher before reversing down closing negative which is a bearish indicator. The weekly chart looks likely to show a negative reversal as well, an even more significant bearish indicator. This Reversal is strongly tied to the washout in crude oil prices as that impacts the demand for ethanol, and ethanol requires sugar for its production. Sugar has been ready for a correction having become overbought from a technical perspective, the viral outbreak and its impact on related markets was simply the catalyst. From a fundamental perspective this market is still very bullish, and prices are currently holding at a support level (14.43), but we are likely to see prices fall further as many take profit and cover their long positions. In my opinion this pullback could be a great bullish opportunity to buy in at a better price, just be patient and let this situation play out a little further first.

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About the author

Eric entered the workforce during the summer of 2007 as an apprentice tradesman just before the big crash and recession which followed. The impact of which strongly inspired his interest in the financial industry and began him as a student of the markets. Eric worked throughout the following years developing strong communication skills and risk management practices in the aviation and marketing industries before ultimately getting licensed and turning his passion into a career as a market strategist with RJO Futures.

Sector Focus

Eric specializes in trend following strategies in metals, stock indices, energies, grains, softs.

Analysis Preference

Supply and demand data ultimately determines the long term trend direction. However, Eric uses basic chart patterns and price action to determine the impact news and information has upon the markets, which provides insight to the short term volatility and provides clarity on timing for entry and exit of a position.

Strengths and Trading Philosophy

There are opportunities in the futures markets each minute of every trading day. Spreads and option strategies are utilized by Eric as they present themselves. These opportunities may tend to take place after a long buildup or extreme events. When they reveal themselves, he believes in using discipline during the three phases of a complete trading strategy: Information, Action, and Exit. Diligence in acquiring, organizing and reviewing solid and reliable information, coupled with knowing the risk that is involved. Eric's strength is confidence in taking decisive action to use opportunities revealed by the information.

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