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Crypto-night. The Energy Report 12/04/17

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The Crypto currency craze that has swept the world is now being looked at by Venezulan President Nicolas Maduro as a savior to its economy. The President helped run the Venezuelan economy in into the ground by squandering their oil revenue, and now wants to mortgage his people’s future by taking its last asset, its oil reserves, the largest in the world, to back a new Venezulan crypto currency. Cryptocurrencies agave also been called the currency for murderers and drug dealers, I am just saying.

Of course, while they say it is backed by Venezuela reserves, just how does that work? Do you get a barrel of undeveloped oil every time you buy a currency?  I know that you can’t base it on real production because Maduro and his cronies bankrupted the state-owned oil company and their production is taking along with their current currency the bolivar. I know that when it comes to other cryptocurrencies it is really backed on nothing but maybe that would be better than being backed on fraud and deceit.

Crude is starting off getting a bit of a technical correction. A stronger dollar along with another increase in US rig counts is allowing the market to pullback from resistance. Crude oil longs start the week at an 9-month high as the bullish fundamentals are very clear. Hedge funds raised their WTI net-long position — the difference between bets on a price increase and wagers on a drop — by 15 percent to 396,484 futures and options in the week ended Nov. 28, according to data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Shorts dropped by 39 percent, while longs advanced 6.5 percent according to Bloomberg.

Our ULTRA sell number on our trade levels was one tick from the high on Friday and while we may see some early downside the trend is still strong. US drillers added 2 oil rigs to 749 according to Baker Hughes bringing the total to 749. That puts oil rigs back to summer of 2015 levels, but we may not see as much oil from those rigs because many of them are drilling on less productive parcels of land.

Natural gas is higher. Winter makes an appearance and the above normal temperatures should get back to normal. Still US production is very strong.
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Phil Flynn

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About the author

Mr. Flynn is one of the world's leading energy market analysts, providing individual investors, professional traders, and institutions with up-to-the-minute investment and risk management insight into global petroleum, gasoline, and energy markets.

Phil Flynn's accurate and timely forecasts have come to be in great demand by industry and media worldwide. His impressive career goes back almost three decades, gaining attention with his market calls as writer of “The Energy Report”.

He is a daily contributor to Fox Business Network where he provides daily market updates and analysis. Phil’s daily commentary is also featured in Futures Magazine, International Business Times, Inside Futures, 312 Energy, Enercast, among many others.

Phil is a lifelong resident of Illinois. He attended Daley College in Chicago before beginning his career on the trading floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange which eventually led him and his team to The PRICE Futures Group.

Media highlights include: The President of the United States, Bloomberg, ABC, CBS, NBC´s "Today Show" and "Nightly News with Tom Brokaw", CNBC, CNN/CNNfn, FOX´s "O´Reilly Factor", PBS´s "The Newshour with Jim Lehrer" and "Nightly Business Report", MSNBC´s "The News with Brian Williams", The Wall Street Journal, Business Week, Investor´s Business Daily, The New York Times, The Los Angeles Times, Chicago Tribune, Associated Press, The Toronto Globe & Mail, Houston Chronicle, Futures Magazine, Inside Futures, and National Public Radio.

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