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Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ17 -0.06%) this morning are down -0.02% on concern over passage of U.S. tax reform legislation. European stocks are up +0.23%, led by strength in automakers, after Volkswagen AG raised its 2020 sales growth forecast to 25%, up from a forecast of 20% in March. The upside in European stocks was limited after German Chancellor Merkel's attempt to form a new government collapsed after a month of coalition talks fell apart over disputes about migration policies that prompted the Free Democrats to walk out of the negotiations late Sunday night. That may spur Chancellor Merkel to ask German President Steinmeier to order a second national election, most likely in the spring, or form a minority government headed by her Christian Democratic bloc. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan -0.60%, Hong Kong +0.21%, China +0.28%, Taiwan -0.35%, Australia -0.19%, Singapore +0.12%, South Korea =0.38%, India +0.05%. China's Shanghai Composite rebounded from a 1-1/2 month low and closed higher as property developers and home building stocks rallied after China Oct new home prices increased from Sep.

The dollar index (DXY00 +0.08%) is up +0.12%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.12%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.13%.

Dec 10-year T-note prices (ZNZ17 +0.10%) are up +2 ticks.

China Oct new home prices rose in 50 of the 70 cities tracked by the government, an improvement from 44 of the 70 that rose in Sep.

German Oct PPI rose +0.3% m/m and +2.7% y/y, right on expectations.

The Japan Oct trade balance shrank to a surplus of +285.4 billion yen, narrower than expectations of +330.0 billion yen. Oct exports rose +14.0% y/y, weaker than expectations of +15.7% y/y. Oct imports rose +18.9% y/y, weaker than expectations of +20.2% y/y.


Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Oct leading indicators (expected +0.7%, Sep -0.2%), (2) USDA weekly grain export inspections, (3) USDA crop conditions and progress report.

Notable Russell 2000 earnings reports today include: Intuit (consensus $0.04), Brocade Communicates (0.18), Palo Alto (0.68), Urban Outfitters (0.33), Agilent Technologies (0.62).

U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.

Equity conferences this week: none.


Wal-Mart (WMT -2.16%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Goldman Sachs.

Monster Beverage (MNST +0.27%) was downgraded to 'Negative' from 'Neutral' at Susquehanna Financial with a price target of $51.

Verizon (VZ +1.45%) was upgraded to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' at Wells Fargo Securities with a target price of $50.

General Motors (GM +0.64%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Guggenheim Securities.

Delphi Automotive Plc (DLPH -0.54%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Bank of America/Merrill Lynch with a price target of $120.

Cardinal Health (CAH +0.16%) was downgraded to 'Underweight' from 'Equal weight' at Morgan Stanley with a price target of $51.

Resolute Energy (REN +4.02%) was upgraded to 'Overweight' from suspended coverage at Barclays with a 12-month target price of $37.

Jack in the Box (JACK +0.56%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Outperform' at Wedbush.

WGL Holdings (WGL -0.17%) reported a Q4 operating loss of -17 cents per share, narrower than consensus of -20 cents.

Advanced Accelerator Applications SA (AAAP -0.05%) American depository receipts were downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Overweight' at JPMorgan Chase.

Pointer Telocation (PNTR -1.13%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Roth Capital Partners.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ -0.63%) said patients treated with its Invokana for type 2 diabetes had a 43% reduced risk for all-cause mortality and hospitalization for heart failure after an average of 1.6 years, compared to similar patients treated with a non-SGLT2i medication.

California Resources (CRC +4.46%) fell 4% in after-hours trading after it entered into an equity distribution pact with Morgan Stanley to sell up to 6 million shares of common stock from time to time.

Etsy (ETSY +0.30%) gained almost 1% in after-hours trading after the company announced a $100 million stock buyback program.


Dec S&P 500 E-mini stock futures (ESZ17 -0.06%) this morning are down -0.50 points (-0.02%). Friday's closes: S&P 500 -0.26%, Dow Jones -0.43%, Nasdaq -0.39%. The S&P 500 on Friday closed lower on some concern that Senate Republicans may not have the support to pass tax reform legislation and the -7 point decline in the U.S. Nov Kansas City Fed manufacturing activity to 16, weaker than expectations of -2 to 21. Stocks were supported by news that U.S. Oct housing starts rose +13.7% to a 1-year high of 1.29 million, stronger than expectations of +5.6% to 1.19 million.

Dec 10-year T-note prices (ZNZ17 +0.10%) this morning are up +2 ticks. Friday's closes: TYZ7 +1.50, FVZ7 +0.25. Dec 10-year T-notes on Friday closed higher on the the decline in stocks, which boosted the safe-haven demand for T-notes, and on reduced inflation expectations after the 10-year T-note breakeven inflation rate fell to a 1-week low.

The dollar index (DXY00 +0.08%) this morning is up +0.111 (+0.12%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0014 (-0.12%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.15 (+0.13%). Friday's closes: Dollar Index -0.270 (-0.29%), EUR/USD +0.0020 (+0.17%), USD/JPY -0.96 (-0.85%). The dollar index on Friday closed lower on the slump in stocks, which sent USD/JPY to a 1-month low on increased safe-haven demand for the yen. The dollar was also undercut by the decline in the 10-year T-note yield, which reduced the dollar's interest rate differentials.

Dec crude oil (CLZ17 -0.55%) this morning is down -20 cents (-0.35%) and Dec gasoline (RBZ17 -0.91%) is -0.0056 (-0.32%). Friday's closes: Dec WTI crude +1.41 (+2.56%), Dec gasoline +0.0310 (+1.81%). Dec crude oil and gasoline on Friday closed higher on a weaker dollar and on comments by Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih that OPEC should announce an extension of output cuts when it meets on Nov 30.

Metals prices this morning are lower with Dec gold (GCZ17 -0.35%) -5.9 (-0.46%), Dec silver (SIZ17 -1.08%) -0.213 (-1.23%) and Dec copper (HGZ17 -0.18%) -0.002 (-0.07%). Friday's closes: Dec gold +18.3 (+1.43%), Dec silver +0.301 (+1.76%), Dec copper +0.0190 (+0.62%). Metals prices on Friday closed higher with Dec gold and Dec silver at 1-month highs. Metals prices were boosted by a weaker dollar and the stronger-than-expected U.S. Oct housing starts and building permits, which is positive for copper consumption. Copper prices were also supported by tighter supplies after LME copper inventories fell -3,850 MT to a 2-month low of 247,700 MT.

Monday, Nov 20
US 1000 ET Oct leading indicators expected +0.7%, Sep -0.2%.
1100 ET USDA weekly grain export inspections.
1600 ET USDA crop conditions and progress report.
Tuesday, Nov 21
US 0830 ET Oct Chicago Fed national activity index expected +0.03 to 0.20, Sep +0.54 to +0.17.
1000 ET Oct existing home sales expected +0.2% to 5.40 million, Sep +0.7% to 5.39 million.
1300 ET Treasury auctions $13 billion of 2-year floating-rate notes.
1800 ET Fed Chair Janet Yellen speaks at New York Universitys Stern Business School.
Brocade Communications Systems Inc BRCD US Q4 2017 Earnings Release Q4 17 0.18
Intuit Inc INTU US Aft-mkt Q1 2018 Earnings Release Q1 18 0.044
Palo Alto Networks Inc PANW US Aft-mkt Q1 2018 Earnings Release Q1 18 0.683
Urban Outfitters Inc URBN US Aft-mkt Q3 2018 Earnings Release Q3 18 0.333
Agilent Technologies Inc A US 16:05 Q4 2017 Earnings Release Q4 17 0.624
Intuit Inc INTU US 16:30 Q1 2018 Earnings Call Q1 18
Palo Alto Networks Inc PANW US 16:30 Q1 2018 Earnings Call Q1 18
Agilent Technologies Inc A US 16:30 Q4 2017 Earnings Call Q4 17
Urban Outfitters Inc URBN US 17:00 Q3 2018 Earnings Call Q3 18

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Barchart U.S. Morning Call is written by the experienced members of the Commodity Research Bureau and the Barchart Research Team.  Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) has been providing research to the financial and commodity community since 1934.  If you have any questions for our analysts, please contact us at

Sent every morning, "Morning Call" summarizes overnight global market news, along with a U.S. market forecast for the day ahead. It Includes upcoming earnings reports, a global financial calendar, and quote board overview of where the markets are standing.

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