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Livestock Report


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Live Cattle

The December Live Cattle contract made an attempt to rally above the 120.50 resistance level at the beginning of the trading session on Tuesday, November 14, 2017. It traded up to the high of the day at 120.925 before reversing and grinding down to the low at 118.775. Buyers came back during the last 20 minutes of trading and price ended the day at 119.575. This is above the 119.15 support level as it was tested and held. This is going to be the key level for trade on Wednesday, in my opinion. A recovery from 119.15 could lead to a retest of resistance at 120.50. A rally above this area, could lead to a test of the 121.325 resistance level. Trading below 119.15 could lead to a test of support at 117.725. A breakdown from here could test support at 116.55. The negotiated cash market trade quiet on Tuesday. The fedcattlexchange.com auction is on Wednesday with 969 head for sale. Tuesday afternoon boxed beef cutout values were lower on Choice and Select on light to moderate demand and moderate offerings. Choice was down 2.14 to 210.67 and Select was down 0.34 to 193.48 on 124 loads. The choice/ select spread narrowed to a plus 17.18. The estimated cattle slaughter for Tuesday was reported at 118,000.

Feeder Cattle

The January Feeder Cattle contract spent the first half hour of trade hammering away at the 155.90 156.475 support zone. It finally broke down below it and raced down to the 154.25 support level, reaching a low of 154.20. It rebounded from here, trading up to 155.35 and then it grinded lower to a new low at 154.175. Another attempt to rally failed at 155.025. It broke down from here, making a new low at 153.575. This is just below support at 153.70. It recovered from here reaching 154.15 and ended the day at 153.925. This is just above the 153.70 support level. The 154.25 153.70 area could be the key to Wednesdays trade. Above this area and price could make its way towards the 155.90 156.475 resistance zone. Below this area and price could make its way towards the 152.30 support level. Support then comes in at 149.975.

Lean Hogs

The December Lean Hogs contract sold off right from the open (62.40) on Tuesday morning, trading down to the 61.80 support level for a short while (61.925 low), broke down to 61.30 and rested for an hour before breaking down and trading down the rest of the session. It made the low at the end of the day at 59.90. This is just above support at 59.825 (August 29 low). A break down below this level could take price down towards the 58.10 support level. Holding above the low could lead to a rally to 60 60 (October 9 low) and then towards the 61.80 resistance level.

For those interested I hold a weekly grain (with Sean Lusk) and livestock webinar on Thursday, November14 at 3:00pm. It is free for anyone who wants to sign up and the link for sign up is below. If you cannot attend live a recording will be sent to your email upon completion of the webinar.

Sign Up Now

**Call me for a free consultation for a marketing plan regarding your livestock needs.*

Ben DiCostanzo

Senior Market Strategist

Walsh Trading, Inc.

Direct: 312.957.4163

888.391.7894

Fax: 312.256.0109

bdicostanzo@walshtrading.com

www.walshtrading.com

RISK DISCLOSURE: THERE IS A SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS IN FUTURES AND OPTIONS TRADING. THIS REPORT IS A SOLICITATION FOR ENTERING A DERIVATIVES TRANSACTION AND ALL TRANSACTIONS INCLUDE A SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS. THE USE OF A STOP-LOSS ORDER MAY NOT NECESSARILY LIMIT YOUR LOSS TO THE INTENDED AMOUNT. WHILE CURRENT EVENTS, MARKET ANNOUNCEMENTS AND SEASONAL FACTORS ARE TYPICALLY BUILT INTO FUTURES PRICES, A MOVEMENT IN THE CASH MARKET WOULD NOT NECESSARILY MOVE IN TANDEM WITH THE RELATED FUTURES AND OPTIONS CONTRACTS.



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About the author


Ben DiCostanzo
Senior Market Strategist
Walsh Trading

I began my career in the Securities industry working as a runner on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange while I attended Pace University. I then started working for Salomon Brothers in their Government Bond Trading arena. After graduating from Pace University with a degree in Accounting, I transferred to Chicago and became a member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange utilizing my experience to execute trades and manage risk for institutional clients as a broker for Salomon Brothers on the trading floor. I then embarked to trade for my own account in the stock indices pits as a local before moving off the floor to aid and assist individual clients in their trading endeavors. I now work at Walsh Trading holding a series 3 broker’s license whose duties include being the firm’s Chief Market technician.

I understand that every client's needs are different, and I pride myself in tailoring my service to each client's unique circumstances and needs. Individual client experience, risk tolerance, and capital all play a role in how I approach the markets. I am involved in all markets using technical analysis to find opportunities. My approach is driven by the principles of capital preservation.

My trading philosophy is that if you can recognize and manage the risk, you have a better chance to be successful in trading. I advise clients to always use stops as money management in my opinion is the most important ingredient in trading commodities.

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