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Crop Report Today. The Nemenoff Report 11/09/17


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Financials: Dec. Bonds are currently 15 lower at 153’28, 10 Yr. Notes 3 lower at 125’05.0 and 5 Yr. Notes 2 lower at 117’04.2. During the last week we were able to sell the Dec. Bonds above the 154’00 level as the market traded as high as 154’26. If you took advantage of the rally and went short, either take profits or use a protective buy stop at 154’19. If the market trades below 153’19 and you remain short, lower your stop to 154’06.
Grains: Dec. Corn is currently unchanged at 348’2, Jan. Beans 4’2 higher at 1002’6 and Dec. Wheat 0’4 higher at 427’2. There is a crop report at 11:00 this morning. I will be looking to be a buyer in Dec. Corn below 336’0 and a buyer in Jan. Beans below 955’0 should the Report be negative.
Cattle: Live and Feeder Cattle closed sharply lower yesterday. Doing some simple math I’m estimating that doing a “cattle crush spread” of long Jan. Feeders and short June Live Cattle you would be locking in a $60-80.00 dollar a head loss. Something has got to give to push the market back into profitability. Either the Feeders will break or the live will rally in relation to the Feeders. I’ve placed my sentiment on the short side of the market.
Silver: Dec. Silver is currently a penny lower at 17.13. I remain long.
S&P’s: Dec. S&P’s are currently 14.00 lower at 2577.00. We remain short the combination of short futures and short the Dec. 2400 put. This position remains at a loss.
Currencies: As of this writing the Dec. Euro is currently 23 higher at 1.16425, the Yen 28 higher at 0.88310, the Pound unchanged at 1.3126 and the Dollar Index 17 lower 94.598. We remain short the Euro from above the 94.00 level with a risk of 150 points. Should the market trade below 94.25, lower your stop to 95.20. I will be looking to go long the Pound below 1.2900.

Regards,
Marc
Questions? Ask Marc Nemenoff today at 312-264-4310

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Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in futures can involve substantial risk of loss & is not suitable for everyone. Trading foreign exchange also involves a high degree of risk. The leverage created by trading on margin can work against you as well as for you, and losses can exceed your entire investment. Before opening an account and trading, you should seek advice from your advisors as appropriate to ensure that you understand the risks and can withstand the losses.

The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or futures. The Price Futures Group, its officers, directors, employees, and brokers may in the normal course of business have positions, which may or may not agree with the opinions expressed in this report. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction. Reproduction and/or distribution of any portion of this report are strictly prohibited without the written permission of the author. Trading in futures contracts, options on futures contracts, and forward contracts is not suitable for all investors and involves substantial risks. ©2017

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Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in futures can involve substantial risk of loss & is not suitable for everyone.
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A Subsidiary of Price Holdings, Inc. – a Diversified Financial Services Firm. Member NIBA, NFA
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investing in futures can involve substantial risk of loss & is not suitable for everyone. Trading foreign exchange also involves a high degree of risk. The leverage created by trading on margin can work against you as well as for you, and losses can exceed your entire investment. Before opening an account and trading, you should seek advice from your advisors as appropriate to ensure that you understand the risks and can withstand the losses.
The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or futures. The Price Futures Group, its officers, directors, employees, and brokers may in the normal course of business have positions, which may or may not agree with the opinions expressed in this report. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction. Reproduction and/or distribution of any portion of this report are strictly prohibited without the written permission of the author. Trading in futures contracts, options on futures contracts, and forward contracts is not suitable for all investors and involves substantial risks.

The post Crop Report Today. The Nemenoff Report 11/09/17 appeared first on Market Insights.



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About the author


Mr. Nemenoff is a 37-year veteran of the futures industry. While attending graduate school at the Illinois Institute of Technology, Marc began his career as a clerk on the trading floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

Marc Nemenoff quickly found that his background in both math and problem solving techniques were adaptable to the futures markets as well as the career he had been pursuing in Architecture and Urban Planning. Having decided on a career change he quickly rose within the Tabor Grain Co. organization and became their analyst and operations manager for all products traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

In 1976 Mr. Nemenoff's responsibilities increased when he was granted full membership on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange as Tabor Grain Co's. representative to the exchange. He was their head analyst and liaison to all branch offices. In addition, he was in charge of designing hedging strategies in both the livestock and financial sectors of the market and writing the firms daily and weekly market letters.

In 1980 Mr. Nemenoff purchased his own membership on the CME and spent the next 12 years as an independent trader, trading in all markets with a concentration in live cattle as a spreader and market maker. As a member of the exchange he served on many committees including, Live Cattle, Nominating, Contributions, Public Relations & Advertising, and Orientation & Education. During this time he gave speeches to various groups at the behest of the exchange. These included: Agricultural Bankers, The National Cattleman's Assoc., various groups on the Role of the Market Maker, and various groups on the Role of Futures as a Risk Management Tool.

In 1991 Marc left the floor and spent his time as an independent trader and lecturer giving speeches at seminars on various topics. These included Livestock Trading, Interest Rate Futures, Spreads, Technical Analysis, and trading in the pit vs. being an outside speculator. He also taught classes as a guest lecturer at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange on Spreading, Technical Analysis, and Commodity Options.

Since 2004 Marc has been an Associated Person handling customer accounts for both speculators and hedgers. Marc is also the author of The Nemenoff Report, a daily overview of the markets adding his own perspective on market direction. Since 2002 Marc has been a Board member of Art Encounter, an Evanston, IL. non- profit organization, specializing in the visual arts and providing community outreach programs, such as art classes for people of all ages with special needs. Marc has been President of Art Encounter since 2009.

Mr. Nemenoff describes his approach to the market as 75% technical and 25% fundamental. He is also a firm believer in the use of option strategies as a way of using leverage and minimizing risk when one has a long-term market strategy.

Contact Marc Nemenoff: (800) 769-7021 or at mnemenoff@pricegroup.com

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