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Attn Fundamental Traders

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Kiss-keep it simple stupid. A few of you made welcome contact recently about how I poke fun of fundamentals in assessing trading strategy. The result is it sucks the last 3 years in soybeans, now in cattle, cotton sell olive into hurricane, weeks later 10%+ lower? Still short SP s ? Stock index seller's anonymous or SISA is for you.
Throw fundamentals out the window if trading. This is Mob behavior. Are funds getting long crude back over $52 the gazillinth time ?
10 year highs in 2yr interest rate notes! Conditional Commodity-Extreme Swing Plays everywhere as cycle continues to long long term bottoms. Dont go broke trying to short sell, last buck bean break. It broke better and bigger traders on the trading floor to Switzerland. Stand off, that bet.Use tight stops and turn off screen and relax, only after stop placement..

I continue to pound table bullish, if long term. Metals bottomed almost 2 years ago at $1056 gold OLB to me was grand cycle bottom, crude a month later on annual chart? Get it? Stocks exact opposite spus. A touch smaller scale but the pattern is long term. 10% 10 day break? Yep so get ready and pick a good level. The usual new high stop WORST CASE! Trust me on that and KIT'SS.
Keep it Trader Simple Stupid.

Advice- always use a risk-stop. If that is your downfall? Get a broker with high-impact
Stop Levels
And the conditions that elicit irrational exuberance squared. Stop placement service.

Let me give you 5 min.s with your market and my floor trader coded conditions I chirp here about. If you dont like, you take a pass like the olive signal. I have heard many times you sold $29 crude, $9.07 SQ, $4.21 KC wheat?

I call them 'olive-line-Victims' of which I used to be. This took me out right before the major turns until hard and fast experience, conditions and rules were input. You cant determine the cost of speculating (Who said it?).

Many trade idea opportunities upon US. Ethanol hit an olive buy. Learn how to trade the olive line, the number that hurts the most traders.

ALERT- Any lumber short sellers? Is this an extreme enough yet? 430-ish last-ish. LiveCattle OLS today hit a touch a go.

Right Here- Right Now.


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I think long term macro factors are now in place where inflation moves up, probably more by a factor of 2 than you might be thinking which presents a case here in CBOT CME beanoil futures spreads. This is Dec 2017 under DEC 2018. This was dirt cheap and that's when I advise clients buy things when pundits say no inflation forever like a big guy named Jan said a year ago.

The only way out with the least likely civil unrest (inequality all-time-record highs) is to inflate. If you think we have inflation that are offer trading opportunities then sign up on my update list. This is more for pro traders, Farmers, Ranchers and of course low risk Speculators.

Specializing in providing timely technical advice to the AG business community. Contact me for a free 5min. outlook in your specific product.


Alan R. Palmer

Sr. Strategist

Direct: 1 312 957 8248

Fax: 1 312 256 0109


53 West Jackson Boulevard, Suite 750

Chicago, Illinois 60604

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Walsh Trading, Inc. is registered as an Independent Introducing Broker with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and an NFA Member.
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About the author

Alan R. Palmer, Sr., is a successful independent trader and technical analyst specializing in agricultural, financial and stock index futures. He has worked primarily in the markets traded on the CME Group.

Alan started trading at the Chicago Board of Trade in 1986 in the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond pit as a local. In 1987, he bought his full membership the day of the historic crash and moved back to his passion, trading soybeans, and grains along with bonds and stocks. Moving from pit to pit as market indicators dictated, Alan used his charting calculations to spot pivotal points as markets crossed ‘key levels.’ This acumen is Alan’s specialty and now he delivers this knowledge and experience to his customer base. He offers a macro thought process to viewing markets and players as they act with predictive behavior acumen.

He began his career in the futures industry as a summer runner while thirteen on the floor of the CBOT in 1973 delivering orders and learning the rudimentary workings of the markets. He graduated from runner to phone clerk, delivery clerk during the Hunt silver squeeze, working for various brokerage firms. After earning a Bachelor’s degree from DePaul University while working full time, he began a career as a proprietary trader with Paul Tudor Jones, a world-renown money manager, where he perfected his technical analytical techniques.

Alan has appeared on CNBC, Bloomberg, CNN, and has been quoted in The Wall Street Journal, Chicago Tribune, Chicago Sun-Times, Bloomberg and Reuters newswires. He was the founder of, an independent research and charting web enterprise, based on time-tested, support and resistance calculations for predicting multi-market swings. Alan holds an undergraduate degree in Business Finance Administration from DePaul University in Chicago.

Contact Alan:
Phone: 312.957.8248 or 888.391.7894

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