Platinum has a variety of rankers available for stocks, industries, and options using fundamental, technical and volatility data. It's a great vehicle for finding trading opportunities and changing up a routine that does not mesh with current market conditions. With a new appreciation for Welles Wilder's Relative Strength Index [RSI] after several conversations with Andrew Cardwell, it seemed to be a great time to explore the RSI ranker.
Bullish & Bearish Ranges
I almost always view momentum indicators when analyzing a chart, and RSI and MACD are the two that have evolved into my favorites. Mr. Cardwell's work with RSI led to a variety of applications for the indicator, including bullish ranges and bearish ranges which regularly appear on my charts. These apply to 14-period RSI setting. A quick summary is provided here, but more detail on Mr. Cardwell's techniques can be found in the Analytical Toolbox series in July 2008.
- When RSI is moving between 40 and 80, the underlying security is in a bullish phase,
- When RSI is moving between 20 and 60, the underlying security is in a bearish phase,
- When RSI is moving between 40 and 60, a trend transition may be taking place.
RSI appears to find support/resistance at the 40 & 60 levels, along with the mid-point line at 50.
Platinum RSI Ranker
The RSI tool in Platinum allows the trader to identify a specific RSI range then rank a group of stocks by the number of days each stock has been inside or outside the range. The number of user-defined fields for the RSI ranker provides great flexibility, including the ability to specify all three ranges in the Bullish & Bearish Ranges list.
These scans were initiated by starting at the Platinum Site Map and selecting "RSI" from the Bollinger Bands / RSI line of the Stock Rankers Tab. The RSI ranker screen allows you to apply various RSI settings to a user-defined stock list that includes optionable securities from major indexes.
Three scans were performed over 65 days to get a look back period of approximately three months. The RSI ranges were broken into three periods and ranked by most days in the range to split out the index as follows:
- High Bull [HB]: RSI between 80 and 60
- Low Bear [LB]: RSI between 40 and 20
- Neutral [N]: RSI between 60 and 40
Figure 1 provides a screen shot of the RSI ranker using a look back period of 65 days, which approximates one quarter's worth of trade data.
Figure 1: RSI Ranker Screen Shot
To see if there were any emerging trends that could be used for a future system or filter, end of month returns were evaluated (18 trading days later). A review of the charts for stocks in the Neutral Scan since the transition could be bullish, bearish or suggest continued sideways movement.
Table 1 provides summary results for 98 stocks in the S&P 100 Index.
Table 1: Summary Results for Three Scans
Given the three month bearish period prior to these scans, the HB Scan only returned one stock: MCD. The LB Scan produced the highest returns; however, they were also the most volatile with the stock that remained in the region for the greatest period of time (35 of 65 days, or 54%) realized the best returns. The next stock with a long duration in this region (26% of the time) was the worst performer.
Stocks in the Neutral Scan required the most assessment with those that appeared to have recently used the RSI 50 level as a support area providing consistent, positive returns and those experiencing resistance at 50 or 60 providing consistent, negative returns.
The 12/4/08 date was specifically chosen. I knew there was a prior bearish period with overall positive returns for the market following. Some light generalizations could be made from assessing the data, but it was really a chart review that clarified things. System oriented traders should complete the scans, view the results and consider RSI parameters that include a rising RSI (or RSI today greater than x days ago) and above certain levels.
The LB Scan as the top group came as a surprise, but I had to remind myself of the larger mix of stocks that resulted from the Neutral Scan, including those that had other indicators favoring a bearish move. While the LB Scans returns were volatile, the results can't be ignored when expanding the review to a greater period of time.
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Clare White
Contributing Writer and Options Strategist
Optionetics.com ~ Your Options Education Site
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