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PPI Data


Inflationary data just keeps rolling in higher.  Today's PPI data was no exception coming in at a staggering 1.4% headline number, while the core was, oh who cares.  By the way, that 1.4% monthly figure was also a seasonally adjusted number.  Said another way, it would have been higher if our friends at the Bureau of Labor & Statistics (BLS) didn't massage the figures.  If you believe this core number send me an email, I have some old stuff in the basement that I want to sell as new and I'm looking for suckers who will believe anything and everything.

Yes sir, wholesale prices skyrocketed while housing and industrial activity continued to tail off, giving us a blend of high-costs and slow growth.  I'm guessing that this cements the notion that the Federal Reserve's next move on interest rates will be no move whatsoever.  We find out next week. 

BREAKING NEWS: Smoke seen rising from the top of Labor Department building.  Fire Department says likely cause is cooking of the inflation books; there is no need to panic.

As mentioned above, U.S. wholesale prices spiked 1.4% in May, after seasonal adjustments, with energy prices gaining 4.9% and food prices rising 0.8%.  In the past year, the (PPI) producer price index, which tracks inflation at the wholesale level, gained 7.2%, the government said.  Economists had been expecting the headline number to be .9%, which underscores the notion that economist??¢€TMs expectations are worthless.  Once again they were off by a large margin of 50%.

As prices in May for finished consumer foods rose, prices for pork gained 8%, the largest change since 1999, and prices for fresh fruits and melons rose 5.9%.  Further back in the production pipeline, prices for intermediate goods gained 2.9% in May.  The core intermediate PPI, considered a key leading indicator of inflation, gained 2.0% in May, the largest change since early 1980!  

Pipeline inflation pressures may mean that the BS from the BLS regarding core PPI may be coming to an end.  That is, until they find a new way to lie to you.

The Federal Reserve reported that industrial production fell 0.2% in May, the second straight monthly decline and the third time in four months.  Plants operated at only a 79.4% capacity, the lowest since September 2005 after the Gulf Coast hurricanes.  

The number of new housing projects started in May fell 3.3%, the lowest in 17 years, as builders pulled back further.  Builders are dealing with the level of unsold and foreclosed homes piling up, adding to already swollen supply.  Falling demand from would-be buyers and rising mortgage rates are adding to builder headaches.

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Larry Levin is the Founder & President of Secrets of Traders- a commodity trading educational firm dedicated to helping traders succeed in the futures markets.

Larry trades the S&P 500 at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the world’s largest and most diverse financial exchange. Larry has been trading his own account or company's proprietary accounts since 1993, trading an average of 2500-3000 E-mini S&P contracts a day.

He has been in and around the S&P 500 futures pit at the CME for almost 20 years, where he started as a runner for Lind-Waldock. Larry moved up through the ranks from runner to phone clerk to desk manager of the S&P desk. He began trading his own account in 1994.

In 1998 he formed Trading Advantage, a publishing company enabling him to distribute his self-authored trading course, The Secrets of Floor Traders. In 2000 he sold the rights to the course Secrets of Floor Traders to Secrets of Traders, LLC to market his products for him. This transaction has allowed him to trade for a living full time while continuing to distribute his message. He recently developed his newest trading course, ‘The Secrets of an Electronic Futures Trader’; designed to give the electronic futures trader the competitive edge needed to succeed.

Larry appears regularly on CNBC, Bloomberg Television, Rob TV, BizRadio, as well as various other media outlets, providing his expertise and insight on the current market.

Larry’s lifelong vision is teaching people to learn how to trade the right way.

For more information contact:

Chelsey Krull
Director of Business Development
312.235.2572
chelsey@secretsoftraders.com
Chicago Board of Trade
141 W. Jackson Boulevard, Suite 2838
Chicago, IL 60604

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