rounded corner
rounded corner
top border

It’s Planting Time, and Time to be Bullish Corn


Corn prices retreated in May, but at this time of year, weather is critical, and plantings are facing delays. I think bullish options strategies are worth considering, as demand is tight and we need all the crop we can get for both food and ethanol demand.

The recent crop situation is one of not having a good deal of corn in the ground. Cool, wet weather has delayed plantings. Forecasts call for above-normal rainfall in the next two weeks, with some predicting precipitation at twice the normal rate in the central and western corn belt. With these wet conditions, roots tend to be higher, and it delays the entire growing season. If corn gets in the ground too late, there are critical stages in development that bring added weather risks. The onset of a drought will damage shallow root systems, and there could be a situation where frost could be a threat in the later stages.

Export demand remains solid in the U.S. and meeting crop expectations is critical. Watch for the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s crop progress report, out this afternoon. Planting is expected to be slower than normal for this time of year. That being said, I would recommend bullish options strategies for a move up. July corn futures are currently trading near $5.98 a bushel but I see prices a dollar or more higher by the end of the season.

You could buy the $6/$7.20 December call spread, which expires November 21. So you have time for the market to move. You could also buy the September $6.50 calls, which expire August 22, or consider selling puts.

Of course there are other strategies you can consider, give me a call and I’d be happy to tailor a strategy to your specific goals and risk-tolerance. Ask about our special 50 percent off commission offer for new clients too.

Phillip Streible is a Senior Market Strategist with Lind Plus. He can be reached at 800-803-8037 or via email at pstreible@lind-waldock.com.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future trading results. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources which Lind-Waldock believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder.

 

You can hear market commentary from Lind-Waldock market strategists through our weekly Lind Plus Markets on the Move webinars, as well as online seminars on other topics of interest to traders.

These interactive, live webinars are free to attend. Go to www.lind-waldock.com/events to sign up. Lind-Waldock also offers other educational resources to help your learn more about futures trading, including free simulated trading. Visit www.lind-waldock.com.

 

 

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. © 2008 MF Global Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Lind-Waldock, Futures Brokers, Commodity Brokers and Online Futures Trading. 141 West Jackson Boulevard, Suite 1400-A, Chicago, IL 60604.

 


Bookmark and Share

Recent articles from this author



About the author


Phil Streible is a Senior Market Strategist with Lind Plus, Lind-Waldock's broker-assisted division. Early in his career he began trading his own account as a screen trader focusing on the metals, grains, and stock index markets. He became a Series 7 licensed Financial Consultant with A.G. Edwards, and later expanded his trading experience as a Series 3 licensed Commodity Broker with Investment Analysis Group. In his current position as Senior Market Strategist with Lind-Waldock, all his focus is concentrated on the futures and futures options markets. His motto is: "Plan your trades and trade your plan."

Phil helps clients develop a solid trading strategy to remove some of the emotions from trading, and allow them to focus on improving their bottom line. His goal is to show clients how to anticipate, recognize, and react to bull and bear market conditions through the use of technical analysis techniques that help to define risk.

You can reach him at 800-803-8037 or via email at pstreible@lind-waldock.com.

Published by Barchart
Home  •  Charts & Quotes  •  Commentary  •  Authors  •  Education  •  Broker Search  •  Trading Tools  •  Help  •  Contact  •  Advertise With Us  •  Commodities
Markets: Currencies  •   Energies  •   Financials  •   Grains  •   Indices  •   Meats  •   Metals  •   Softs

The information contained on InsideFutures.com is believed to be accurate but is not guaranteed. Market data is furnished on an exchange delayed basis by Barchart.com. Data transmission or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. No information on the site, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any futures or options contracts. InsideFutures.com is not a broker, nor does it have an affiliation with any broker.

Copyright ©2005-2010 InsideFutures.com, a Barchart.com product. All rights reserved.

About Us  •   Sitemap  •   Legal  •   Privacy Statement