Soybeans surged higher again on Friday gaining an additional 15 cents. For the week Jan Beans gained 22 ½ cents. Better than expected export sales figures released on Friday morning added the initial rally. China Soybean buying helped push weekly sales to a new marketing year high of 66.4 mil. bu taking Year to date sales to 597 mil. bu. vs. 569 mil bu. sold this time last year. Reports show that China has accounted for 70% of these sales. The session was brief due to the Thanksgiving holiday and trading was considered light. 77,892 Soybeans, 48,437 Oil and 40,085 Meal traded on Friday. Funds were fairly good buyers despite the shortened session buying an estimated 4,000 Soybeans, 3,000 Oil and 2,000 Meal.
Early opening calls are higher. Overnight Soybeans continued the rally from Friday ending the evening session up 11 ½ cents in the January contract. Continued strong cash export sales, weakening US Dollar and rising crude oil prices continue to spur the Bean complex. Soyoil rallied to 33-year high overnight and Soybeans traded to fresh 34 year highs. South American weather will take a bigger role as we go forward into their growing season. Good rains in Northern Brazil over the weekend, but Light rains in Argentina did little to help the dry conditions there. Malaysian crude palm futures extended gains on Monday to a record peak, shrugging off a slight increase in exports and focusing on gains in crude and soyoil markets. Chinese Soybeans traded higher overnight. Weekly CFTC commitment of traders report will be issued after the close today, late due to the Thanksgiving holiday.
Early Opening Calls: Soybeans 10 to 15 cents higher, Meal $ 3.00 to $4.00 higher, Oil .20 to .40 higher.
Top News
-- Iran is seeking 20,000 mt of Mayalysian, Indonesian palm olein for Dec-Jan delivery, bidding deadline is unknown.
-- Friday Export Sales Recap:
Soybeans 07/08 Export Sales Net: 1.807 mln mt; 08/09 Net: None mt
Soybean Meal 07/08 Export Sales Net: 133,100 mt; 08/09 Export Sales Net: 1,000 mt
Soybean Oil 07/08 Export Sales Net: 65,200 mt; 08/09 Export Sales Net: None mt
-- Dalian Soybean futures May 60 yuan higher in May, Sept 61 yuan/mt higher; Soymeal +58 yuan/mt to 3478; Soyoil May futures +150 yuan/mt to 9538.
-- Malaysian Palm oil futures set record new high at $915/mt (3,068 ringgit) a rise of 0.8% on the day, following comparable soyoil futures & taking cues from the crude oil markets also.
-- SGS says palm oil product exports fell to 1.107 mln mt in the Nov 1-25 period thats a decline of 0.4% when compared to same period in Oct.
-- eCBOT Soybean Vol. 60,191; Pit Vol. 14,952; Open Interest Change: -3,647
-- Weather: 6-10 Day Forecast: Normal to Below Temps. Above Normal Precip. The Corn Belt will see showers and light snow today. Tuesday looks dry.
-- Outside markets. Energy: crude 14c higher at 98.31/bbl, products 50-100 pts higher ; Gold $5.00 higher at $829.70/oz & Silver: 3.5c higher at $14.76/oz; US $ mixed, lower vs Euro & slightly higher vs Yen
Cash Markets
-- CIF Soybeans off 1 to 5 .LH Nov. +34 to +39, Dec. +36 to +45, Jan. +47 to +52, Feb. +37 to +42, Mar. +37 to +41, Apr. +35 to +40, May +35 to +40, J/J +35 to +40.
Nathan T. Smith III
Linn Group
nsmith@linngroup.com
toll free: (877) 787-6278
local: (312) 896-2090
fax: (312) 896-2050
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