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Large Specs Cuting Net Short Swiss Franc Bets, Latest CFTC Data Shows


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Currency Analysis

by Paul Kavanaugh, PFGBEST

1-888-439-6033

pkavanaugh@pfgbest.com

-Eighteenth straight week of net long US dollar bets.

-Euro zone debt crisis continues to dominate currency news

-Large Speculators increase net short positions in Euro to another all-time record high

-Large Speculators cut bets net short Swiss Franc by over one third

2012 SF 

CFTC data released Friday January 20th shows IMM currency speculators increased bets net short the Euro to yet another all-time record high. The most recent Commitments of Traders data shows some significant percentage changes in speculative positions in the currencies from the prior week including the following:

Commitments of Traders Data

(Non-Commercial Net Position Data thru Tuesday January 10th)

A minor 0.02% increase from 28,649 to 28,730 contracts net short of the Canadian dollar;

A stunning 39.22% decrease from 21,097 to 12,822 contracts net short of the Swiss Franc;

A building 16.12% increase from 35,853 to 41,634 contracts net short of the British Pound;

A small 3.11 increase from 155,195 to 160,030 contracts net short of the Euro;

A scant 1.33% increase from 59,657 to 58,862 contracts net long of the Japanese Yen;

And a tiny 1.45% increase from 53,526 to 54,306 contracts net long of the Australian dollar.

(Source CFTC.gov)

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About the author


Paul Kavanaugh is a Commodity Broker, Analyst and Trading Strategist with over 17 years of experience educating and offering services to individual investors. He specializes in risk management that helps clients tap the leverage available in the commodity futures markets.

He joined PFGBEST in 2005 from Vision/Whitehall/Super Fund Financial Group where he served for three years. Before that he was with MF Global and its predecessor firm Fox Investments/RCG.

For more than 14 years, Mr. Kavanaugh has published a daily newsletter, The Trendsheet, which focuses on current technical and seasonal analysis of various markets.  It is available for all customers and prospects at www.pfgbest.com/research.

His currency market expertise spans his entire career, from his start as industry celebrity Jake Bernstein’s broker from 1993 to 2000. There, Mr. Kavanaugh learned the specific methods he teaches and trades today. His courses are available through PFGBEST webinars, and he has often provided live weekly market commentary from the trading floor of the Chicago Board of Trade and he has created and conducted technical analysis web seminars for various Chicago exchanges.

His television appearances are frequent and varied. For a number of years, he was a market commentator for local Channel 26 live from the exchange floor as part of the programming for "Stock Market Observer" with emphasis on the impact of foreign exchange and other economic factors driving overall financial market moves.

Mr. Kavanaugh earned his Bachelor’s in Economics from Albion College in Michigan and immediately began trading and brokering in futures upon graduation. He is also a registered Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA).

Paul Kavanaugh
Sr. Currency Markets Analyst

Phone: 1-888-439-6033
Email: pkavanaugh@pfgbest.com

PFGBEST is among the largest non-clearing U.S. Futures Commission Merchants, with customers, affiliates and brokerage offices in more than 80 countries. The company is a leader in sustainable investing through diversified products including managed funds, futures, forex, options, full-service and discount brokerage, trader education, market research, and direct online futures trading through its BESTDirect® platform, and numerous other platforms and applications

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