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Futures Closing Bell 10/10/2007


Orange Juice futures surged this morning, as speculative buying emerged ahead of Friday's USDA crop production report. Traders are expected a rebound in Florida Orange production for the 2007-08 crop year, with current estimates calling for production to total between 170 and 200-million 90 lb. boxes, well above the 129 million box harvest this past year. Traders report fairly heavy technical related buying, with buy stops triggered above near term resistance at 139.00 and 144.00 in the November futures. Prices surged as high as 147.00, before selling emerged, capping the day's gains. Options volume was heavy as traders position themselves before the government's first official estimate of the 2007-08 crop. 149.25 is seen as the next resistance level for November Juice, with support found at the 100-day moving average of 133.90. November FCOJ closed at 141.60, up 4.55.

Short-covering buying sparked a rally in Corn futures this afternoon, as traders square up positions ahead of Friday's USDA Crop report. Traders are looking for an increase in U.S Corn production, with average estimates calling for a 13.5 billion bushel crop vs. last month's estimate of 13.308 billion bushels. Average yields are expected to have increased as well, with traders looking for a nearly 2 bushels per acre gain from last month's 155.8 bushels per acre USDA estimate. Additional support came from gains in its pit mates Wheat and Soybeans. Despite today's rally, December Corn remains well below the major moving averages, with resistance found at the 50-day moving average at $3.52. Support is seen at the recent lows of $3.35. December Corn closed at $3.47 ¼, up 4 ¾ cents.

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future trading results. Trading commentary and analysis is based on information taken from trade and statistical services, news services, and other sources which XPRESSTRADE believes are reliable. We do not warrant that such information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. XPRESSTRADE's policy is to publish market research that is objective, clear, fair, and not misleading. Trading commentary and analysis reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no assurance that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made on a strictly unsolicited basis by the account holder.


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About the author


Mike's futures career began in 1991, when he began trading for himself as a floor trader at the Mid-America Commodities Exchange (MidAm) in the wheat and corn futures and options pits. In 1999, Mike joined TD Waterhouse as a securities broker where he obtained his series 7 and 63 licenses. Seeing the growth in online futures trading, He joined XPRESSTRADE in 2002. Mike attended DePaul University and the University of Illinois at Chicago and holds the series 3 license. He's now an assistant manager at XPRESSTRADE and a senior market analyst. In his free time, he can be found attending symphony or other cultural events in the city.

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