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Markets to Watch 10/05/2007


S&P 500 futures: There is a slight bid on the e-mini S&P 500 futures this morning, as traders gear up for a rebound in non-farm payrolls in September. Expectations are for payrolls to have increased by 100,000 jobs in September, a sharp rebound from the loss of 4,000 jobs in August. However, many thing that an increase in government jobs will account for a bulk of the rise, as the private sector job growth lags behind. In early trade, December e-mini S&P 500 futures are trading at 1556.25, up 4.00.

Dollar Index: December Dollar indeed futures are trading moderately lower, as traders look for the unemployment rate to rise by 0.1% to 4.7% in today jobs report. Traders expect, the manufacturing, construction, and financial services sectors to be a drag on employment, and keep the possibility of further interest rates cuts alive in the remaining weeks of 2007. In early trade, December Dollar Index futures are trading at 78.280, down 0.100.

Treasury futures: After closing near the highs of the session yesterday, Treasury futures are moderately lower, as traders await the non-farm payrolls report. Average hourly earnings, are expected to increase by a moderate 0.3%. This seems to be the consensus figure as almost every month, economist expect the same increase in hourly wages. If the report shows a larger than expected increase in wages, Treasuries may be on the defensive, as wage inflation creeps back into the spotlight. In early trade, December Ten-year Note futures are trading at 109-180, down 0-02.

 

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Mike's futures career began in 1991, when he began trading for himself as a floor trader at the Mid-America Commodities Exchange (MidAm) in the wheat and corn futures and options pits. In 1999, Mike joined TD Waterhouse as a securities broker where he obtained his series 7 and 63 licenses. Seeing the growth in online futures trading, He joined XPRESSTRADE in 2002. Mike attended DePaul University and the University of Illinois at Chicago and holds the series 3 license. He's now an assistant manager at XPRESSTRADE and a senior market analyst. In his free time, he can be found attending symphony or other cultural events in the city.

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