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Futures Closing Bell 10/02/2007


Cocoa futures were pummeled this morning, as an overall weakness in the commodity sector, tied to a rebound in the U.S. Dollar, caused speculative liquidation in the Cocoa market. A weaker British Pound vs. the U.S Dollar caused arbitrage selling in the New York market to start the session. Trade and origin selling followed, as the West African harvest continues to move forward, moving the market through support points at $2000 and $1980, triggering speculative sell-stops along the way. Buyers were scarce as prices fell, with major support at the 100-day moving average of $1948 giving way and sparking fresh short-term momentum based selling. Buyers were found just above the $1900 area in the December contract, which put an end to the day's losses. $1900 is seen as psychological support for December Cocoa, with resistance found at $1948. December Cocoa closed at $1917, down $113.

After hitting 27-year highs yesterday, Gold futures were ripe for a correction and correct it did, as prices fell over $20 at its worst levels of the session, as a commodity wide sell-off hit Gold and the precious metals sector particularly hard. A rebound in world equity markets and a recovery in the U.S. Dollar made Gold investments less attractive to non-U.S. buyers. Moderate sell-stops were seen being triggered below support at $740.00. Despite the heavy selling seen today, technical damage was seen as minimal, as the widely watched 20-day moving average was not violated and the long-term uptrend remains intact. Continued speculation the U.S. Federal Reserve is still in an easing mode, is fanning fears of rising inflation, which if uncovered in economic data going forward, would be supportive to the precious metals sector and Gold in particular. The Next support point for December Gold is seen at $727.00, with resistance found at $747.00. December Gold closed at $736.30, down $17.80.

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future trading results. Trading commentary and analysis is based on information taken from trade and statistical services, news services, and other sources which XPRESSTRADE believes are reliable. We do not warrant that such information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. XPRESSTRADE's policy is to publish market research that is objective, clear, fair, and not misleading. Trading commentary and analysis reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no assurance that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made on a strictly unsolicited basis by the account holder.


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Mike's futures career began in 1991, when he began trading for himself as a floor trader at the Mid-America Commodities Exchange (MidAm) in the wheat and corn futures and options pits. In 1999, Mike joined TD Waterhouse as a securities broker where he obtained his series 7 and 63 licenses. Seeing the growth in online futures trading, He joined XPRESSTRADE in 2002. Mike attended DePaul University and the University of Illinois at Chicago and holds the series 3 license. He's now an assistant manager at XPRESSTRADE and a senior market analyst. In his free time, he can be found attending symphony or other cultural events in the city.

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