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Futures Closing Bell 10/01/2007


Speculators both large and small were active buyer in Arabica Coffee futures to start the 4th quarter, as a lack of meaningful rainfall in the Coffee growing regions of Brazil, has traders fearful of possible crop damage due to the lack of moisture. Large non-commercial traders were already holding a sizable net-long position before today's buying spree, with the most recent Commitment of Traders report showing 38,080 net-long positions being held by these traders, up 8,800 contracts as of September 25th. Some origin selling was seen during today's rally, but not enough to absorb the buy-stops and momentum buying seen this morning. Just over 1/3 of this years Brazilian harvest has been sold according to private consultants, with producers continuing to hold on to stocks hoping for higher prices. However, should rainfall materialize in the next several days, a decline in futures prices may persuade origin sellers to lock in prices while they can.  140.00 is seen as the next resistance point for December Coffee, with support found at 126.50. December Coffee closed at 134.85, up 6.20.

World Sugar futures opened October on a sour note, as speculative accounts were in a liquidation mode this morning. Traders reported a large sell-order in the March Sugar, with trade buyers doing some moderate scale down buying. Harvest continues in the center-south region of Brazil, with only light precipitation expected this week. No news out of Russia on whether the Sugar import duty will be raised to protect domestic producers who are expected to produce a larger sugar beet harvest this season. 9.85 is seen as support for March Sugar, with resistance found at 10.25. March Sugar closed at 9.93, down 0.22.

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future trading results. Trading commentary and analysis is based on information taken from trade and statistical services, news services, and other sources which XPRESSTRADE believes are reliable. We do not warrant that such information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. XPRESSTRADE's policy is to publish market research that is objective, clear, fair, and not misleading. Trading commentary and analysis reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no assurance that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made on a strictly unsolicited basis by the account holder.


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Mike's futures career began in 1991, when he began trading for himself as a floor trader at the Mid-America Commodities Exchange (MidAm) in the wheat and corn futures and options pits. In 1999, Mike joined TD Waterhouse as a securities broker where he obtained his series 7 and 63 licenses. Seeing the growth in online futures trading, He joined XPRESSTRADE in 2002. Mike attended DePaul University and the University of Illinois at Chicago and holds the series 3 license. He's now an assistant manager at XPRESSTRADE and a senior market analyst. In his free time, he can be found attending symphony or other cultural events in the city.

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