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Daily Futures Spotlight 10/01/2007


The end of the 3rd quarter left smiles on Euro Currency bulls, as the 13-nation currency soared to all-time highs vs. the U.S. Dollar. This has made Dollar denominated goods cheaper for those holding Euros as well as making that vacation to Disneyland more affordable for European travelers. However, not everyone in Europe is happy about the currency’s’ strength. French President Nicolas Sarkozy is among the most vocal European leaders demanding that the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates to stop the surging Euro. The belief is that the strong Euro is hurting European exports, with those supporting a weaker Euro citing a decline in German exports in July as a sign that a Strong Euro is hurting demand from American and Asian buyers. In addition, the spread of the recent credit crunch to Europe is also a cause for alarm, and may take some of the luster out of the Euro as a speculative play.

Looking at the Daily chart for the December Euro Currency futures, we notice aggressive selling taking place after a new contract high was made at 1.4302 earlier in the session. The 14-day RSI reached extremely overbought levels on Friday, closing at 89.86. Readings over 70 are considered overbought. With prices moving up over 9 handles since the middle of August, a bit of profit-taking selling would not be out of line, especially if economic reports continue to show European business activities starting to slow. The Next support point for the December Euro is seen at 1.4081, with resistance found at today’s highs of 1.4302. In early trade, December Euro Currency futures are trading at 1.4250, down 0.0043.

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Mike's futures career began in 1991, when he began trading for himself as a floor trader at the Mid-America Commodities Exchange (MidAm) in the wheat and corn futures and options pits. In 1999, Mike joined TD Waterhouse as a securities broker where he obtained his series 7 and 63 licenses. Seeing the growth in online futures trading, He joined XPRESSTRADE in 2002. Mike attended DePaul University and the University of Illinois at Chicago and holds the series 3 license. He's now an assistant manager at XPRESSTRADE and a senior market analyst. In his free time, he can be found attending symphony or other cultural events in the city.

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