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Futures Closing Bell 09/28/2007


"It was fun while it lasted" was the mantra from Corn bulls this afternoon, as a larger-than-expected quarterly grain stocks report coupled with end-of-quarter profit-taking selling sent Corn prices sharply lower. In today's report, the USDA estimated 4th quarter Corn stocks at 1.304 billion bushels - well above the average pre-report estimate of 1.147 billion bushels. Sell-stops were seen triggered below $3.80 in the December contract, with fresh momentum selling seen below $3.75. Harvest weather is expected in the Midwest this weekend, which should encourage commercial hedge selling, as producers move Corn to the grain elevators. The $3.68 ¼ level is seen as the next support point for December Corn, with resistance found at $380 ½. December Corn closed at $3.72 ¾, down 14 cents.

Another Day, Another Dollar Decline

December Dollar index futures continued their decline today, as U.S. economic data did little to alter expectations for further interest rate cuts.  This morning's release of the core PCE price index was well within the Fed's comfort zone, with a rise of 1.8% in August. The Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index remained steady at 83.4 for September. December Euro futures rose to new all-time highs, closing well above the 1.4200 mark. Support for the December Dollar index is now seen at 77.50, with resistance found at 78.05. December Dollar Index futures closed at 77.625, down 0.620.

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future trading results. Trading commentary and analysis is based on information taken from trade and statistical services, news services, and other sources which XPRESSTRADE believes are reliable. We do not warrant that such information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. XPRESSTRADE's policy is to publish market research that is objective, clear, fair, and not misleading. Trading commentary and analysis reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no assurance that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made on a strictly unsolicited basis by the account holder.

 


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About the author


Mike's futures career began in 1991, when he began trading for himself as a floor trader at the Mid-America Commodities Exchange (MidAm) in the wheat and corn futures and options pits. In 1999, Mike joined TD Waterhouse as a securities broker where he obtained his series 7 and 63 licenses. Seeing the growth in online futures trading, He joined XPRESSTRADE in 2002. Mike attended DePaul University and the University of Illinois at Chicago and holds the series 3 license. He's now an assistant manager at XPRESSTRADE and a senior market analyst. In his free time, he can be found attending symphony or other cultural events in the city.

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