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Daily Futures Spotlight 09/26/2007


Not every Dollar currency is in the dumps, the Australian and New Zealand Dollars are performing quite well, with traders moving funds down under to capture the wide interest rate differentials between Australia and New Zealand and the U.S. Currently, Australia’s short-term rates are 1.75 points higher than the U.S., and New Zealand’s are a whopping 3.5 point higher! A outlook for a weakening U.S. economy, has traders looking for additional interest rate cuts in the U.S. this year, which furthers the appeal of investing in Australian and New Zealand government debt, with the countries stability and relatively high yields being attractive to investors. Traders in the so-called “carry trades” also favor these two countries currencies especially against the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc-the most popular “borrowed” currencies.

Looking at the daily chart for the December New Zealand Dollar, we notice prices continue to hover near 6-week highs. Prices seem to be tracking closely to the 100-day moving average, and a weekly close above this key moving average, would be considered a friendly sign towards the Kiwi. However, the 14-day RSI is hovering in overbought territory, with a current reading of 73.27. Resistance is seen at the recent highs of 0.7430, with major support found at 0.7173. In early trade, December New Zealand Dollars are trading at 0.7384, up 0.0020.

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future trading results. Trading commentary and analysis is based on information taken from trade and statistical services, news services, and other sources which XPRESSTRADE believes are reliable. We do not warrant that such information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. XPRESSTRADE's policy is to publish market research that is objective, clear, fair, and not misleading. Trading commentary and analysis reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no assurance that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made on a strictly unsolicited basis by the account holder.


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Mike's futures career began in 1991, when he began trading for himself as a floor trader at the Mid-America Commodities Exchange (MidAm) in the wheat and corn futures and options pits. In 1999, Mike joined TD Waterhouse as a securities broker where he obtained his series 7 and 63 licenses. Seeing the growth in online futures trading, He joined XPRESSTRADE in 2002. Mike attended DePaul University and the University of Illinois at Chicago and holds the series 3 license. He's now an assistant manager at XPRESSTRADE and a senior market analyst. In his free time, he can be found attending symphony or other cultural events in the city.

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