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Markets to Watch 09/26/2007


Energy futures: November Crude Oil rebounded above the $80 per barrel level in early trade, as traders gear up for another decline in U.S. Crude inventories. This morning’s weekly EIA energy stocks report is expected to show Oil supplies fell by between 1.8 and 2.2 million barrels last week. Traders will also be watching the inventory figures for Cushing Oklahoma-the delivery point for NYMEX Crude Oil futures. Recent inventory declines and solid demand are responsible for the continued backwardation of the WTI Oil market. A backwardation is where near month contracts trade at a premium to deferred month contracts. This is a sign that users are willing to pay a premium for immediate supplies. Gasoline inventories are expected to show a moderate increase of between 100,000 and 300,000 barrels. Distillates, which include Heating Oil, are expected to show a 1 million barrel gain. In early trade, November Crude Oil is trading at $80.11, up $0.58.

Coffee: Profit taking selling hit the December Arabica Coffee futures market in early trade, after hitting an 8-month high yesterday. Dry weather in the main Coffee growing regions of Brazil have been among the reasons for the recent price rise. However, origin sellers came out on yesterday’s rally leading weak bulls to start to book profits on their long positions. Brazil’s Coffee exports have started to increase, with the Green Coffee Exporters Council reporting exports totaling 1.214 million bags so far this month, up from 915,873 bags last month. In early trade, December Coffee was trading at 129.95, down 3.15.

Dollar Index: Short covering buying emerged in the December Dollar Index futures, as bears book profits ahead of this morning’s release of U.S. durable goods orders for August. The consensus is calling for a decline of 3.5% last month, as buyers of big-ticket items held back their purchases due to uncertainly in the U.S. economy. In early trade, the December Dollar Index was trading at 78.450, up 0.255.

 

 

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Mike's futures career began in 1991, when he began trading for himself as a floor trader at the Mid-America Commodities Exchange (MidAm) in the wheat and corn futures and options pits. In 1999, Mike joined TD Waterhouse as a securities broker where he obtained his series 7 and 63 licenses. Seeing the growth in online futures trading, He joined XPRESSTRADE in 2002. Mike attended DePaul University and the University of Illinois at Chicago and holds the series 3 license. He's now an assistant manager at XPRESSTRADE and a senior market analyst. In his free time, he can be found attending symphony or other cultural events in the city.

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