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Futures Closing Bell 09/21/2007


Hog futures are bucking the trend of higher commodity prices this week, with the lead month October contract falling to lows not seen since October of 2006 as weak wholesale pork demand and lower pork cutout values continue to weigh on futures. Packer bids are seen falling as well, with dealers reporting prices steady to $1 lower. October Hogs continue to trade at a steep discount to the CME Lean Hog index, with Wednesday's value coming in at 64.72. This week's sharp price drop has sent the 14-day RSI to vastly oversold levels, with a current reading of 13.15. High grain prices have some traders fearing that producers will start liquidating some of the Hog herds, which would put near-term pressure on prices as supplies increase. Support for October Hogs is seen at $60.00, with resistance found at $63.50. October Lean Hogs closed at 61.35, down 1.02

Wheat Futures ended the week on a high note, as export sales continue despite near-record Wheat prices. Sales of 700,000 tons of Wheat to Iraq and 100,000 tons to Algeria started the session on an up note. Speculative buyers then entered the fold, especially after the December contract moved above yesterday's highs of $8.61 ¼. There is talk that Russia will impose limits on grain exports, which if true would force more business to the U.S., especially with a weak Dollar making U.S. exports more attractive. Weather forecasts continue to call for little moisture in the Wheat-growing regions of Australia, which will not help the already struggling crop. Support for December Wheat is seen at $8.28, with resistance found at $8.98. December Wheat closed at $8.72, up 22 cents.

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future trading results. Trading commentary and analysis is based on information taken from trade and statistical services, news services, and other sources which XPRESSTRADE believes are reliable. We do not warrant that such information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. XPRESSTRADE's policy is to publish market research that is objective, clear, fair, and not misleading. Trading commentary and analysis reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no assurance that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made on a strictly unsolicited basis by the account holder.


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Mike's futures career began in 1991, when he began trading for himself as a floor trader at the Mid-America Commodities Exchange (MidAm) in the wheat and corn futures and options pits. In 1999, Mike joined TD Waterhouse as a securities broker where he obtained his series 7 and 63 licenses. Seeing the growth in online futures trading, He joined XPRESSTRADE in 2002. Mike attended DePaul University and the University of Illinois at Chicago and holds the series 3 license. He's now an assistant manager at XPRESSTRADE and a senior market analyst. In his free time, he can be found attending symphony or other cultural events in the city.

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