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Demand Strong for Cotton, but Be Careful


 

If you have been buying following this newsletter's trade recommendations, it is time to cover around 52.00 for half of your positions. I like to unload with profits, so we can protect what we have in the other positions. Sometimes, I like to do this to protect my clients for long-term trades that are stating to run into overhead resistance.

So stay long and call in for your stop points-and put a chunk of money in your account from the earlier buys.

As a footnote to my readers, many of you know from my columns how bullish I am on the very productive farmers in India. This year the cotton crop looks like it could double. This is why I'm a little nervous over our longs. I know demand has been very strong, but let's be careful out there.

Sugar:

This is now a balanced market. The demand for biofuels has placed a base for demand, and large planting has given the market a top. The penny to a penny and a half range makes for a hard trade. If you like it at the 8 ½ zone place equity stops and make the trade. Use my 3-to-1 method for stop choice.

OJ:       

We have been buying lotto tickets in the OJ pit! Orange groves in Florida had perfect weather to grow in the past few weeks. We have been building a call position going into hurricane season looking, for the big one that might just have landfall this year.

Cocoa:

Our old friend has been very good to us. We covered our shorts at 1866, and

we could be forming a bottom. I know that the rains in Africa have made the cocoa pods a little better, and we must watch this. But with consumption looking a little stronger, we could see a tough trading range.

Trade Recs:

Buy July for a short-term pop against 1860 with a stop below the line.

Coffee: I want you to sell coffee at 188.00 and risk about one-thousand dollars.

I think Asia will continue to come in heavy and allow us about 800 points off this rally.


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Pete Thomas has been quoted in Barron's, the business section of the Chicago Tribune, and Bloomberg. He is a regular contributor to Futures Magazine and has been featured in FutureSource FastBreak "Ask an Expert" this year. His weekly contribution to the RJO Futures weekly newsletter, "Pete's Corner," covers the New York Softs Markets in depth, complete with trade recommendations. Mr. Thomas also handles managed accounts as a Senior Broker at RJO Futures. With his industry background of thirty five years, both on and off the trading floor, Mr. Thomas is a natural choice for both the new and veteran trader seeking a broker assisted account.

Pete Thomas can be contacted at pthomas@rjofutures.com or by calling 888.894.6529 or 312.373.5392.

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