rounded corner
rounded corner
top border

Weekly Interest Rate Review -- November 3, 2006


The week started out promising for the economy with increased personal income of +.5% versus +.3% until the consumption number came out lower than expected at +.1% versus +.3%. This is a sign that more people are saving money rather than spending money which further translates into a sign of a slowing economy. In addition to the decline in consumption and spending, the Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index came out much lower than expected at 53.5 versus 58.0. The significant decline shocked the markets causing the dollar to drop hard and the interest rate markets to rally. It was no big surprise for the weekly trend to continue as the construction spending was down .3% versus unchanged as expected. Weekly jobless claims continue to rise slightly as well. The monthly nonfarm payroll number came out +92,000 versus +125,000 with a slight increase in the average hourly earnings. The unemployment rate fell to 4.4% which is the lowest unemployment rate since May 2001. Needless to say, the key resistance in the interest rate markets held this morning as a result of the report.

The economic weakness has trickled over into the dollar as well as the stock market. Over the past week, the stock market has continued to make a new low each day and broke near term support. There has also been continued hype in the market that a long term high should be occurring in the next week for the stock market. The timing is incredibly coincidental with the elections amongst us next week.

December Ten Year Note Technical Levels:

Trend Direction: Long term Trend Sideways, Short Term Trend is higher, but turning flat.

Resistance: 108-20.0

Support: 107-28.5, 107-15.0; 106-20.0

Financial Reports for the week of November 6th - November 10th:

Tuesday: Election Day!!

Wednesday: API/EIA Energy Stocks - 9:30 am CST

Thursday: Weekly Jobless Claims - 7:30 am CST

US Trade Balance - 7:30 am CST

Wholesale Trade - 9:00 am CST

EIA Gas Storage - 9:30 am CST

Friday: Veteran's Day Observed - A few markets are closed


Bookmark and Share

Recent articles from this author



About the author


My interest in the futures industry stems from strong family ties to production agriculture in Hereford, Texas. After completing a bachelor's degree in Agricultural Economics at Texas Tech University in 1995, I moved to Chicago to participate in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Agricultural Broker Training Program. The program exposed me to all facets of the futures industry, enabling me to work with experienced floor traders and develop a strong understanding of the intricacies of trading in the futures markets.

 


Since completing the training program in 1995, I have continued to gain a well-rounded knowledge of the industry by working as an order clerk, trading desk manager, and broker for RJO Futures. In 2004, I started a branch office of RJO Futures to focus my efforts on helping clients meet their trading goals. By identifying client objectives, managing risk, and providing a carefully tailored service, I serve as a dedicated liaison on all trading floors to full-service, broker assist, and on-line clients. My commentary can also be heard regularly on CNBC TV and Bloomberg.

 


In order to continue to better serve my customers in an ever-evolving and dynamic industry, I also completed a M.S. degree in Financial Markets and Trading from the Illinois Institute of Technology in May of 1999.


RJO Futures is the retail division of R.J. O'Brien, one of the oldest FCMs tracing its history back to 1914.

To learn more about RJO Futures, visit rjofutures.com

Published by Barchart
Home  •  Charts & Quotes  •  Commentary  •  Authors  •  Education  •  Broker Search  •  Trading Tools  •  Help  •  Contact  •  Advertise With Us  •  Commodities
Markets: Currencies  •   Energies  •   Financials  •   Grains  •   Indices  •   Meats  •   Metals  •   Softs

The information contained on InsideFutures.com is believed to be accurate but is not guaranteed. Market data is furnished on an exchange delayed basis by Barchart.com. Data transmission or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. No information on the site, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any futures or options contracts. InsideFutures.com is not a broker, nor does it have an affiliation with any broker.

Copyright ©2005-2010 InsideFutures.com, a Barchart.com product. All rights reserved.

About Us  •   Sitemap  •   Legal  •   Privacy Statement