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Our New Jobs Czar Jeffery Immelt Has to Change Existing Tax Incentives to Achieve Otherwise Impossible Goals


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Jeffery Immelt is our new “jobs czar” on Obama’s new Council on Jobs and Competitiveness. Emptywheel at Firedoglake is calling it a “kabuki jobs council,” noting GE had just signed a deal with China to share our jet technology that will allow China to compete with GE and Boeing. Emptywheel also noted GE has been shutting plants and repurposing them in China.

From Empty: “Recently, [mid 2009] ATI made $30 million worth of investments to buy, convert, and modernize a shuttered factory in economically ravaged Michigan so the company could provide more parts to GE as the green economy expands with federal stimulus funding. But a Chinese firm underbid ATI, and the factory faced having to lay off 302 union workers and shutter the plant. In an aggressive bid to keep the factory open, ATI offered to match the price of the Chinese producers. GE once again said they would prefer to buy from China. The ATI plant is now closed, the jobs gone.”

Immelt sat on Obama’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board at the time this occurred. His GE company received $16 billion in bailout funds from US taxpayers, taxpayers like the 302 workers at the ATI plant whose jobs Immelt had outsourced to China. Now, why would GE outsource those jobs to China if ATI had underbid China? Is partnering with and pandering to China’s interests all that? Or is it the that the tax incentives to American companies to outsource that powerful? Would changing the tax incentives to outsource help repatriate jobs back home?

Comment from Immelt on his new role as jobs czar on Obama’s Council on Jobs and Competitiveness:  “A sound and competitive tax system and a partnership between business and government on education and innovation in areas where America can lead, such as clean energy, are essential to sustainable growth.”

The CBO estimates that “As the recovery continues, the economy will add roughly 2.5 million jobs per year over the 2011–2016 period.” That is more than 200,000 jobs being created per month every month for the next 5 yrs. Moody’s estimates 270,000 jobs will be created per month on average in 2011.

But since American companies have been incentivized through tax structures to outsource since the 1980s, jobs simply disappear to overseas markets during economic recoveries. There are no longer any V-spikes in the jobs mkt when the US comes out of a recession. During the housing boom, the peak job growth in 2004-2006 at best averaged 200,000 jobs.

However, there is no housing boom in the US in 2011-2016. The excess supply of homes will take to 2013 to absorb according to JPM.  With no housing related jobs to create at least until 2013, there is simply no way the US can create 200,000 jobs per month on average in 2011-2012. And jobs in new growth industries like clean energy are largely going overseas.

As per recent trends in outsourcing: outsourcing trends are expected to persist:

http://www.rttsweb.com/outsourcing/statistics/

More than 1.3 million additional Western jobs will vanish by 2014 due to “the accelerated movement of work to India and other offshore locations,” says the study released Nov. 15.

http://economyincrisis.org/content/outsourcing-americas-stimulus-jobs

In a March 2010 letter sent to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner Tuesday, Sens. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), Sherrod Brown (D-OH), Bob Casey (D-PA) and John Tester (D-MT) said that taxpayer dollars designed to boost the struggling American economy should not be used to create jobs overseas.

“Companies located in New York, Pennsylvania, and elsewhere across the United States are fully capable of manufacturing the range of clean-energy components, and U.S. wind farms and other clean-energy projects financed with stimulus money should be buying American-built parts,” the letter reads. The report estimates stimulus funding for wind projects have created roughly 6,000 manufacturing jobs overseas and just hundreds in America.  At a press conference Wednesday, the Senators pointed to a specific wind farm project in West Texas that is seeking an award of $450 million in stimulus funds for a $1.5 billion project.  According to Schumer, the Texas project would create around 3,000 Chinese jobs and just 300 American jobs.

The letter comes on the heels of a report by the Investigative Reporting Workshop and ABC News, which found that eight of every $10 spent on wind energy projects through the stimulus package went to a foreign company.  Total recovery funds spent on wind energy projects total nearly $2 billion.

So, to our new jobs czar Jeffery Immelt: Jeff, I wish you the very best in your efforts to create 200,000 plus jobs a month for the next 5 yrs when the existing tax incentives favor continued outsourcing of US jobs, even in the most prized growth industries such as the clean and green energy industries, whereby (according to Senator Schumer) 90% of the new wind energy jobs are going to China and whereby $8 out of every $10 spent on wind energy (80%) goes to a foreign company according to an ABC Investigative Reporting Workshop.



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John is a professional financial market analyst and trader, Commodity Trading Advisor, and a member of the Market Technician’s Association. John began his financial career in 1994 working with trading groups in the SP500 and 30 Year Treasuries at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and Chicago Board of Trade. In 1999-2000, John joined Beardsley Capital Management, an equity hedge fund.  In 2000, John launched his financial newsletter, Structural Logic.  The newsletter is a risk management tool for the clients John consults with, providing them with research and insights into market behavior they can use in their own investing and trading. Structural Logic’s mission is to meet both the informational and educational needs of hedge funds and money managers, professional investors and traders. John is also the author of Riding the Storm Out, a book on the 2008-09 financial crisis and what investors and traders can do now.  

In September 2001, John published “Don’t Fight the Fed, You Just Might Win” in Futures Magazine when Fed Policies were clearly not working as intended. In May 2001, John published “No Cure for Mad Dow Disease” in Futures Magazine. Excerpts of my financial newsletter have also been quoted in Barron’s weekly magazine in 2006 and 2007.  

One wealth management client has introduces John to his investors as his “secret weapon.” Another client calls John ‘the mad scientist.’ During the worst stock market crash in our lifetime, a hedge fund client emailed on Nov 11 2008 to say: “Hey John - I just wanted to say your work has been awesome the last 6-8 weeks. Outstanding job, Bill” 

Financial Blog at Successful Trading Tips
In July 2007, as an adjunct to the Structural Logic financial newsletter, John began a financial blog called Successful Trading Tips. This blog is all about the economic policies that shape our financial markets destiny. I am also a frequent guest contributor to ZeroHedge.com, another well-known financial blogsite.  

Riding the Storm Out
Published in February 2009, Riding the Storm Out is a timely title on the financial crisis and what investors can do now to hedge the risks that lie ahead.   

Educational DVD’s: Behavioral Finance Modeling and Trade Outside the Box
Published A 75 minute educational DVD Behavioral Finance Modeling in Atlanta, June 2009 and a three hour educational DVD called Trade Outside the Box for traders and investors published at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange July 2009.     

Education
John received his B.A at St. Olaf College in Northfield MN – 1985. The bulk of John’s financial and economic background now comes from over fifteen years of self study and mentoring amongst professional peers and clients. John is well acquainted with the most relevant cutting edge financial and economic research coming out of Wharton's School of Business and the University of Chicago.

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