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Today's Forex outlook for GBP/USD, EUR/USD & GBP/EUR


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GBP/USD stayed within a narrow range although staying above support area. Failure to break lower did push the market higher, and once more we are back above 1.5400. If we can maintain above 1.5400 we can trade higher with 1.5580 to 1.5620 the targeted area.

Buyers would be advised to cover all longs to here as it is unlikely that we can break this resistance today.

Failure to hold over 1.5400 puts a more weaker tone on the market and should allow sellers to use this failure to drive us lower with 1.5335/25 once more in their sights. Sellers are expected to cover shorts to here. Only a loss of 1.5320 would tempt sellers back into the market, and they would then be looking for 1.5255.

Eur/Usd stayed within a narrow range yesterday, leaving the outlook unchanged. We came higher yesterday, reaching 1.2848. We have support at 1.2780 and as long as we can maintain above here we should trade higher. We should be able to continue higher with 1.2850/60 once more targeted.

Buyers are advised to cover ahead of this resistance. Sellers are expected here, and this should prove to be quite a difficult barrier to break. However if we do break 1.2860 buyers would be back into the market once more and we could trade higher then to 1.2920. If 1.2780 is lost it would bolster the sellers confidence a bit and they would be willing to come back onto the market and take us lower for 1.2710/1.2690. They would cover shorts to here as buyers would be expected.

Eur/Gbp Kept the pressure to the topside and hit 8350. We are seeing a small retracement early in the session, but we need to break back below 8301 to continue to see weakness. If we can hold 8301 we should then be able to come higher, exceeding 8350 and targeting 8375/80. Buyers are advised to cover all longs to here. Sellers are likely to be waiting here as well.

Now if we cannot hold 8300 we should see the market weaken further with 8285 then 8266/55 your short term objective.



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About the author


Carol Harmer has over 30 years experience of analysing and trading the world’s markets and is undoubtedly one of the most respected technical analysts in the world today. 

Her career started in the early eighties, trading futures on the floor at LIFFE where she quickly discovered Technical Analysis as a way to maximise profits. She was one of the first traders on LIFFE to discover and study this form of analysis and quickly became widely recognised as an expert in its use as well as highly profitable. 

This soon led to a position as Senior Technical Analyst for Midland Bank. 

She was later head hunted for the role of Manager of Technical Analysis for Nomura Bank and then as Head of Technical Trading at Credit Suisse. Carol is also one of the first T/A's from a bank to join the  STA (The Society of Technical Analysts) in the mid 80's and has trained and worked with some of the UK’s leading technical analysts.

In 1996 Carol launched 'Charmer Charts' to train independent traders in technical analysis and became the first person to provide daily forecasts for the established traders on the LIFFE floor.

She returned to the floor, trading her own account, advising traders throughout the day and continued her appearances on Bloomberg, CNBC and Reuters financial TV where she provided her valued, expert opinion on the direction of financial markets.

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