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Employment Worries Help Trigger Stock Market Sell-off


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Employment worries helped to trigger a sharp sell-off in U.S. equity markets on Monday, leading to speculation that the month will end with another weak day on Tuesday. The problem with the market this week is Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls Report. The market is looking for a decline of 106K to 120K and a jobless rate of 9.6%. Investors are worried that after a summer of weak economic reports, the season will end with a bearish jobs report.

Monday’s ho-hum Personal Income and Personal Spending reports did not provide the power stocks needed today to sustain earlier gains. This led to a day-long sell-off which took the markets beyond a normal short-term retracement and left them in a position to challenge last week’s lows.

Thin trading conditions and a plethora of economic reports can fuel a pretty volatile day on Tuesday. Shortly after the start of tomorrow’s trading session, investors will have the opportunity to digest the housing market with the Case-Shiller 20-city index, manufacturing with the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index and Consumer Confidence. Later in the day, the Minutes of the FOMC Meeting will be released. This report will give opportunities a peek at what the Fed discussed at its last meeting when it decided to leave interest rates unchanged, but shift the proceeds out of mortgage securities into Treasury securities.

Early in the trading session, the September E-mini S&P 500 rallied in a follow-through move following Friday’s robust closing price reversal bottom. The market ran out of steam early in its attempt to retrace to 1082.25 to 1093.00. The subsequent sell-off and weak close has put this market in a position to challenge a major uptrending Gann angle at 1042.75 and the last swing bottom at 1037.00. A break through this area could trigger an even further decline into the next uptrending Gann angle at 1022.75.

 
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 About the Author:

James A. Hyerczyk, Senior Market Analyst and technical writer for Brewer Futures Group.  He is a member of the Markets Technicians Association and holds a Masters degree in Financial Markets and Trading from the Illinois Institute of Technology and is registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor.

 

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Brewer Futures Group, headquartered in Chicago , is a full-service financial firm providing self-directed futures trading, broker-assisted service, and managed futures programs to institutions and retail clients. We are committed to customer service, investor education and electronic innovation in order to respond to the constant changing needs of our clients. Because Brewer Futures Group is an Independent Introducing Broker, we have a distinct advantage. Our independence allows us to tailor services best suited to your individual trading needs.

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