This report was sent to subscribers on 8/14/10 8:30 a.m. Chicago time to be used for trading on 8/16/10. Everything is done by Howard Tyllas, no program or black box.
September Crude Oil
After the close recap on 8/16/10: My resistance was 9.69 1/4, .18 from the actual high, and my pivot acted as support and was 9.50 1/4, only .16 from the actual low
Results for 8/16/10 were:
Soybeans: My resistance was .00 1/2 from the actual high; my support was .00 1/4 from the actual low.
Corn: My resistance was .03 1/2 from the actual high; my support was .00 3/4 from the actual low.
Crude Oil: My resistance was .18 from the actual high; my support was .16 from the actual low.
S&P: My resistance was 1.75 from the actual high; my support was 4.25 from the actual low.
Gold: My resistance was $4.30 from the actual high; my support was $3.10 from the actual low.
Euro: My resistance was .40 from the actual high; my support was .24 from the actual low.
Bonds: My resistance was 13 from the actual high; my support was 7 from the actual low.
Nat. Gas: My resistance was .020 from the actual high; my support was .014 from the actual low.
Cattle: My resistance was .17 from the actual high; my support was .25 from the actual low.
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|
76.13 Resistance |
--------------75.41 Pivot |
74.70 Support |
|
|
Trend |
5 day chart ...... Down from last week same day |
Daily chart ......... Down |
Weekly chart ........ Sideways |
Monthly chart ...... Sideways 80.93 is the 200 MA |
ATR 2.11 Extremely Oversold 4% |

I said "Bracket line near $77 is resistance now, and then the uptrend line that now acts as resistance near $79.60. Notice how downtrend line acted as perfect support on Thursday, this is not coincidence. Bears target the low of July".
September Crude Oil for 8/16/10:
In charting, when a resistance is hurdled it becomes support, and when the support is broken it becomes resistance.
I have been saying for over a year "What the equities market & the $ does from here, will help or hurt crude oil".
In my daily crude oil numbers on Friday; my resistance was .49 from the actual high (my pivot was off by .01 in the open outcry session); my support was .31 from the actual low.
Crude Oil: Spot on support and spot on resistance number off .01 in open outcry. Having a bias this time held me back from taking the sell at the pivot which proved to be a good trade idea seeing how the market came $.01 below the pivot and provided the opportunity to take a sell and risk .35 on the idea. Aggressive bears though would have taken it. Extremely oversold now and at a downtrend line that will be pivotal on Monday. I would trade the numbers without bias and risk .35 on the trade idea.
September Crude Oil for 8/13/10:
Crude Oil: Spot on numbers! Trading the numbers without bias was a good idea. We are in extremely oversold condition right now, at the downtrend line which acts as support (what was resistance is now support when the market is above it), and a $7 plunge in a week, makes me want to trade without bias again today risking no more than .40 on a trade idea. I know I do not want to take the sell signal below the pivot with the reasons just outlined, I am not that aggressive
Results for 8/12/10 were:
Soybeans: My resistance was .03 from the actual high; my support was .00 1/2 from the actual low
Corn: My resistance was .03 3/4 from the actual high; my support was .02 1/2 from the actual low.
Crude Oil: My resistance was .10 from the actual high; my support was .33 from the actual low.
S&P: My resistance was 3.00 from the actual high; my support was .50 from the actual low.
Gold: My resistance was $3.50 from the actual high; my support was $1.40 from the actual low.
Euro: My resistance was .55 from the actual high; my support was .48 from the actual low.
Bonds: My resistance was 8 from the actual high; my support was 16 from the actual low.
Nat. Gas: My resistance was .007 from the actual high; my support was .021 from the actual low.
Cattle: My resistance was .17 from the actual high; my support was .02 from the actual low.
September Crude Oil for 8/12/10:
Crude Oil: Spot on numbers! My bearish bias using the numbers produced a good signal to sell, and the support numbers were spot on if used to take a profit of shorts. I would trade the numbers without bias today risking .35 on any trade idea.
Want to know what I think for tomorrow and going forward?
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Howard Tyllas
Tel.1-312-573-2699, 1-312-823-9189
Disclaimer: No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Futures trading involve risk. In no event should the content of this be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from Howard Tyllas, that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. No such promises, guarantees or implications are given. Past results are no indication of future performance.









