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IMM Currency Specs Increasing Bets Short Euro


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CFTC data released Friday March 12th showed currency speculators decreased the net long position on the US dollar from $5.58 billion to$3.99 billion in the week ending March 9th, according to Reuters News. In addition, large specs increased their short positions to yet another record high since the inception of the Euro in 1999.

Other significant changes from the last report include specs decreasing net longs in the Yen, decreasing the very large net short sterling positions only slightly, and nearly doubling the net long positions in the Canadian dollar to above the net long Australian dollar positions.

The FOMC meets today March 16th, and is widely expected to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged until November, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists earlier this month.

JAPANESE YEN (Contracts of 12,500,000 yen)

3/09/10 week 3/02/10 week

Long 51,919 57,332

Short 25,631 24,780

Net 26,288 32,552

EURO (Contracts of 125,000 euros)

3/09/10 week 3/02/10 week

Long 32,589 35,894

Short 107,140 102,664

Net -74,551 -66,770

POUND STERLING (Contracts of 62,500 pounds sterling)

3/09/10 week 3/02/10 week

Long 10,417 13,862

Short 73,890 81,411

Net -63,473 -67,549

SWISS FRANC (Contracts of 125,000 Swiss francs)

3/09/10 week 3/02/10 week

Long 10,727 11,508

Short 15,872 17,818

Net -5,145 -6,310

CANADIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Canadian dollars)

3/09/10 week 3/02/10 week

Long 71,350 47,170

Short 9,951 8,881

Net 61,399 38,289

AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Aussie dollars)

3/09/10 week 3/02/10 week

Long 69,885 59,106

Short 8,600 10,345

Net 61,285 48,761

 

If you would like more information or would like access to our trade ideas, give us a call at 1-888-439-6033 or email pkavanaugh@pfgbest.com...

2010 0316 EURUSD

2010 03 16 USD 

 



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About the author


Paul Kavanaugh is a Commodity Broker, Analyst and Trading Strategist with over 17 years of experience educating and offering services to individual investors. He specializes in risk management that helps clients tap the leverage available in the commodity futures markets.

He joined PFGBEST in 2005 from Vision/Whitehall/Super Fund Financial Group where he served for three years. Before that he was with MF Global and its predecessor firm Fox Investments/RCG.

For more than 14 years, Mr. Kavanaugh has published a daily newsletter, The Trendsheet, which focuses on current technical and seasonal analysis of various markets.  It is available for all customers and prospects at www.pfgbest.com/research.

His currency market expertise spans his entire career, from his start as industry celebrity Jake Bernstein’s broker from 1993 to 2000. There, Mr. Kavanaugh learned the specific methods he teaches and trades today. His courses are available through PFGBEST webinars, and he has often provided live weekly market commentary from the trading floor of the Chicago Board of Trade and he has created and conducted technical analysis web seminars for various Chicago exchanges.

His television appearances are frequent and varied. For a number of years, he was a market commentator for local Channel 26 live from the exchange floor as part of the programming for "Stock Market Observer" with emphasis on the impact of foreign exchange and other economic factors driving overall financial market moves.

Mr. Kavanaugh earned his Bachelor’s in Economics from Albion College in Michigan and immediately began trading and brokering in futures upon graduation. He is also a registered Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA).

Paul Kavanaugh
Sr. Currency Markets Analyst

Phone: 1-888-439-6033
Email: pkavanaugh@pfgbest.com

PFGBEST is among the largest non-clearing U.S. Futures Commission Merchants, with customers, affiliates and brokerage offices in more than 80 countries. The company is a leader in sustainable investing through diversified products including managed funds, futures, forex, options, full-service and discount brokerage, trader education, market research, and direct online futures trading through its BESTDirect® platform, and numerous other platforms and applications

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