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Livestock Futures Commentary


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April live cattle closed up $0.60 at $95.70 yesterday. Prices closed near the session high yesterday and set a fresh contract high. The cattle market bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. While there are no significant technical clues that a market top is close at hand, the market is presently short-term overbought and due for a corrective price pullback very soon. Futures prices are in a three-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at $97.50. The next downside technical objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $93.50. First resistance is seen at yesterday's contract high of $95.85 and then at $96.00. First support is seen at yesterday's low of $95.07 and then at $94.60.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5.

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April feeder cattle closed up $0.07 at $106.05 yesterday. Prices closed near the session high yesterday as the market consolidates recent gains. No chart damage has occurred recently. Feeder bulls have the solid near-term technical advantage. There are no early clues to suggest a market top is close at hand. Prices are in a three-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price objective for the feeder bulls is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at $107.50. The next downside price objective for the bears is to push and close prices below solid technical support at the February high of $104.25. First resistance is seen at the contract high of $106.45 and then at $107.00. First support is seen at yesterday's low of $105.55 and then at $105.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0

April lean hogs closed down $0.85 at $71.80 yesterday. Prices closed nearer the session low and closed at a fresh three-week low close yesterday. While no serious chart damage has occurred recently, the bulls have faded and need to show fresh power soon. There is now the specter of a bearish double-top reversal pattern forming on the daily bar chart. Hog bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside price objective for the bulls is to push prices above solid chart resistance at last week's high of $73.40. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $70.00. First resistance is seen at $72.00 and then at $72.50. First support is seen at last week's low of $71.52 and then at $71.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

May pork bellies closed down $1.00 at $91.05 yesterday. Prices closed near the session low yesterday and hit a fresh two-week low. Chart damage has occurred recently to suggest a near-term market top is in place. Bulls still have the slight overall near-term technical advantage in bellies. The next upside price objective for the bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at last week's high of $94.50. The next downside price objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $89.00. First resistance is seen at yesterday's high of $92.30 and then at $93.00. First support is seen at $91.00 and then at $90.00.

Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5

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About the author


Jim Wyckoff has been involved with the stock, financial and futures markets for more than 20 years.  He was born and raised in Iowa, where he still resides.

Wyckoff became a financial journalist with Futures World News for many years, cutting his teeth as a reporter on the futures trading floors in Chicago and New York, where he covered every futures market traded in the United States at one time or another.

Not long after he began his career in financial journalism, he began studying technical analysis. By studying chart patterns and other technical indicators, he realized this approach to analyzing and trading markets could level the playing field between “professional insiders” in the markets and individual traders.

His extensive studies of technical analysis and knowledge of markets led to several positions, including chief technical analyst at several well-known companies.  He says his mission is not just to generate profits for traders but to also provide them with educational and insightful information because, in the fascinating business of trading, one never stops learning.

Wyckoff received a Bachelor of Science degree at Iowa State University, graduating in 1984 with a major in journalism and a minor in economics. He and his wife have two children, a son in high school and a daughter in college.

When he’s not analyzing markets and educating traders, Wyckoff says he loves adventures, from driving a Jeep across the highest mountain pass in the continental United States to extreme winter camping in the Boundary Waters to hiking in the jungles of South America.

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