GBPUSD: Bear Pressure Sets In.
Monday, March 15, 2010
by Mohammed Isah of FXTechstrategy.com
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GBPUSD: Bear Pressure Sets In.
GBPUSD is now seen facing downside weakness after rallying strongly on Friday to close higher at 1.5201. While this has halted its corrective recovery efforts we do not think it has ended suggesting its current price action is corrective of its rally from the 1.4782 level to the 1.5216 level. On further weakness, its .50 Fib Ret (1.4782-1.5216 rally)/Mar 12’10 low at 1.5041/25 will be targeted ahead of its .618 Fib Ret/psycho level at 1.5000/2. We expect a combination of these levels to provide a strong support and turn the pair higher again. Further down, its Mar 10’10 high at 1.4871 and its YTD low at 1.4782 come in as the next supports. Alternatively, to reverse its present downside pressure, a break and hold above the 1.5216 level is required to set the stage for further recovery towards the 1.5343 level, its Feb 19’10 low ahead of our bigger target standing at the 1.5574 level , its Feb 23’10 high. In summary, except the 1.4782 level is violated, we retain our consolidation to corrective view on GBP with eyes on the 1.5216 and the 1.5343 levels.
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Mohammed Isah is a Technical Strategist and head of research at FXTechstrategy.com, a technical research website. He has been trading and analyzing the foreign exchange market for the past 7 years.
He formerly traded stocks before crossing over to the forex market where he worked for FXInstructor LLC as a technical analyst and head of research before Joining FXTechstrategy.com. Mohammed has written extensively on the forex market and technical analysis and his articles have been featured in The Technical Analyst Magazine, The Forex Journal Magazine, Thestreet.com, MoneyShow, The Technical analysis of Stocks & Commodities Magazine, Businessinsider and FXstreet.com
At FXTechstrategy.com he writes daily and weekly technical commentaries on currencies and commodities which are offered to its clients. He provides full coverage of the forex market with specific daily focus on 7 currencies (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, EURGBP, EURJPY, AUDUSD and USDCAD) and the Dollar Index utilizing various technical tools and strategies. He also covers the commodities market twice in a week focusing on in-depth technical developments in GOLD, CRUDE OIL, SILVER, CORN, WHEAT and CRB Index.