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March Euro Daily Numbers & Trade Ideas for 2/5/10


This report was sent to subscribers on 2/4/10 6:00 p.m. Chicago time to be used for trading on 2/5/10. Everything is done by Howard Tyllas, no program or black box.

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March Euro

After the close on 2/5/10: My pivot acted as resistance and was 137.22, .24 from the actual high, and my support was 135.88, only .04 from the actual low.

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139.66                         Resistance

138.56

-------------137.22        Pivot 

135.88

134.60

  

Trend           

5 day chart .........   Down (last week same day)                                

Daily chart   ......... Down              

Weekly chart ........ Sideways         

Monthly chart...      Up   142.97 is the 200 day MA

 ATR 129                  Extremely Oversold 4%

 

Bears captured the downtrend line and now hunt for support that is "off the chart". I used the weekly chart to get the support numbers, the resistance numbers were gotten from the 5 minute chart.

 In my daily numbers on Thursday; my resistance was .66 from the actual high, my support was .14 from the actual low.        

March Euro for 2/5/10:

Three main drivers in the FX are economics, earnings, and politics; I will stick with the charts and my numbers.

I will leave the fundamentals to you and stick with the technical's when trading the currencies.

Euro: Spot on support and helpful resistance. Same thoughts going forward, I want to sell rallies and stay short longer term.

March Euro for 2/4/10:

Euro: Helpful numbers at best. Not an easy day for my numbers, but what is easy longer term is the direction. How to manage time is always a critical issue to be reckoned with. It does not matter if you are right next month if you broke next week first. This is the main reason that I always have a place where I do not want to assume more risk. The alternative is to see how wrong you can get in time, and wait to see if you go broke on 1 wrong idea, and then watch your trade turn around and become correct. Managing time, managing risk. I want to stay short longer term, and sell rallies.

March Euro for 2/3/10:

Euro: Helpful numbers. It would not surprise me to see the market inhale some more after exhaling all the way down to where we are, but a rally near 142 should be sold, and I would stay short longer term looking for a retest of the 135 area.

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           May Your Next Trade Be The Best                          

                     Howard Tyllas            

   Tel.1-312-573-2699, 1-312-961-4390

Disclaimer:     No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Futures trading involve risk. In no event should the content of this be construed as an express

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Currently a member of The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a floor broker and as a Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA). I am the President of Futures Flight, an Introducing Broker (IB) for MF Global,   and a member of the National Futures Association (NFA). I started my career in 1973 on The Chicago Mercantile Exchange trading floor working for a major firm. Three years later I purchased my first membership and began what would become a thirteen-year commitment to trading soybeans for my own account on the trading floor. I began trading options on futures since their inception in Chicago about twenty years ago; doing so, I traded in various pits on the trade floor. 

I day traded from 2000-2002 for Schoenfeld Securities (a major proprietary trade firm), and then continued to trade at Sheppard Int. for Jump Trading, LLC. I concentrated on the emini S&P and NASDAQ, trading them “upstairs” on a screen. One of the major lessons that I have learned from all my years of experience is that knowledge is an important condition for the possibility of successful trading. Knowledge gives you a better chance to succeed by eliminating obvious mistakes: with it, you will never find yourself shamefully uttering, “If I only took the time to learn”.  
         
I want to save you from such regrets by teaching you where the danger is, what it looks like, and how to go around it, while still keeping an eye on your destination of success. In short, I will teach you how to combat error with knowledge.
       
My mission is to educate you, giving you my 34 years experience, wisdom, and knowledge from which you will then be able to use and benefit from at will. For you, I will be a personal trainer, coach, mentor, overseer, market strategist, consultant, and advisor. 
I know what will help you make money, and I know what will insure failure. Use my services and prevent, “If I only knew”.  
  

Howard Tyllas

Futures trading involves the substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not mean future results.

If you have a question, or comment, email me howardtyllas@howardtyllas.com  

Visit my website www.farmerhedge.com

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