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Grain Market Commentary for Wednesday


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Highlights

  • New lows in corn/soy/wheat overnight on sharply higher US dollar and continued follow through from last week's USDA report; Most contracts trading lowest levels since October
  • Most looking for USDA production re-survey in March report; Some believe production estimates could actually increase on a re-survey due to overly conservative farmer estimates? Trade clearly confused over possibilities
  • Equities lower this morning after yesterday's election fueled rally; Republican Brown winning special Massachusetts Senate election in a major blow to democrat health care plans
  • Outside markets negative for the grains this morning with the US$ sharply higher and crude/gold/equities lower
  • Advise selling rallies in corn, soy and wheat until further notice; Shorts in corn may want to look at scaling down positions on any major break today as corn still has the best story fundamentally
  • Email jvaclavik@mfglobal.com for today's trade recs

Weather

  • South American weather continues to be favorable producers, however a warmer/dry spell should hit the region this week
  • Much of the Midwest should see significant precip over the next 24 hrs; The 5 day total for precip will be well above average for the vast majority of the country; Temps should be near normal

Looking to trade the grain markets?  Email Joe at jvaclavik@mfglobal.com for a Free Trade Rec!

 



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About the author


Joe Vaclavik began his career in the brokerage industry working for a prominent ag-marketing firm. He worked primarily with grain and livestock producers in developing cash marketing plans and viable hedging strategies. Now at MF Global, Joe continues to work with a large number of grain and livestock producers across North America and also works with both private and institutional speculative traders. He prides himself on providing traders with his personal research and has worked hard to ensure the success of his clients. Joe authors his Grain Wire every morning which includes outlook and trade recommendations. He also issues a weekly Grain Marketing Update which advises producers on cash grain and hedge positions. Joe can be reached directly at (877) 310-5643 or at jvaclavik@mfglobal.com.

Future trading involves risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.

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