The Volume Fixation
As is often the case at the start of a new year, the options world is
abuzz with talk of volume numbers and market share. Every firm has
released its own numbers in an attempt to shape the volume narrative of
2009. Media outlets around the globe have also trumpeted the many
options volume records that fell by the wayside in 2009.
This fixation on volume is not entirely surprising. After all, given
the dismal trading numbers from Q1 2009, it is amazing that last year's
overall numbers even approached the record level from 2008. (If you
listened to any episodes of Options Insider Radio last year, you know
that the bulk of our guests were bearish on overall 2009 options
volume.)
Quantity vs. Quality
Contract volume has grown exponentially over the past decade, but the
question remains whether that growth has come at a price.
With an established exchange looking to go public, and upstart
exchanges looking to carve out their own niches in this crowded
marketplace, there has never been a greater focus on contract volume
and market share. But this volume fixation has caused many to overlook the
growing chasm between overall contract volume and the actual quality of
those contracts.
Determining the quality of an options contract is a difficult and
ultimately subjective process. Any given contract can offer a myriad of
economic utilities to different market participants. The same contract
can represent a speculative tool to a customer, a commission to a
brokerage firm, a transaction fee to an exchange and a layoff
opportunity to a liquidity provider. Given these varying possibilities,
it is natural to assume that higher contract volume leads to more
economic utility for all participants. However, when you dig
beneath the surface, that assumption begins to unravel.
The Perils Of The Liquidity Provider
One only has to spend a few minutes with liquidity providers to realize that the volume explosion has not been the economic bonanza many expected. Putting aside the
deleterious effects of payment for order flow and penny pricing, today's volume simply does not offer as many opportunities as it once
did.
There was a time when a liquidity provider's bid/ask spread was
sacrosanct. Those days vanished nearly a decade ago. A significant
portion of today's volume arrives at the trading floor in a neat package with counterparties already arranged. These "crossed" trades are
often executed on the bid/ask spread that was established by the
liquidity providers.
All that remains is for the exchange to
put a stamp of approval on the transaction and collect its fee.
Specialists and a few other market participants can sometimes carve off portions of
these crossed trades. But that amounts to little more than table scraps
when compared to the flood of trades that are crossed on a daily basis.
The simple truth is that a significant percentage of today's option volume is off-limits to a large number
of market participants. (Unfortunately, there is little hard data to correlate this since no firms release their crossed trade percentages. But anecdotal evidence points to crossed volume being well north of fifty percent in many option products).
Poor Execution Quality Remains A Problem
Ever since the advent of penny pricing, "poor execution quality" has
been the signature lament of the institutional options trader (this is
one reason that so many institutional orders arrive at the exchange pre-packaged).
With many option products displaying insignificant size on their
penny-wide markets, institutional traders often have difficulty executing large transactions. When they do receive a fill, the
resulting execution is often spread across a confusing array of price
points.
Poor execution quality is usually dismissed as a problem
that only affects the largest institutional players in the options
market. Unfortunately, that simply is not the case. The Options Insider team spent a great deal of
time in 2009 speaking to retail options traders around the country. The
feedback that we received was alarming, to say the least. Poor execution quality was easily
the most common complaint that we heard from the retail community. These were not
professional traders masquerading as retail customers. These were everyday ten-lot and twenty-lot retail traders, yet the options market was not
meeting their needs as customers.
It is taken as gospel within the options community that tighter spreads
have only served to benefit retail customers. But the damage inflicted
on the liquidity provider community may finally be spilling over into
other market segments. Even with volume at record highs and bid/ask
spreads at record lows, many retail customers still can't get their trades done.
In the world of exchanges, market share and volume are paramount. As a result,
every options contract has some basic utility, if only as a means to keep score among the combatants. This has lead to certain market participants incentivizing volume exploits that, at best, have little economic value. At
worst, these trades actually prey upon the ignorance of their customer base.
The dividend trade
is the most common of these volume exploits. According to
a recent analysis by the ISE, dividend trades accounted for a significant percentage of overall options volume in 2009. In fact, if these volume exploits are expunged from the tally, overall options volume actually decreased
by 0.1% in 2009. Something is very wrong when volume exploits have become so pervasive that they can skew results for the entire options market.
What Are We Celebrating?
When you look past the volume records and the press releases, we
are left with a marketplace that is still rife with problems. A large
percentage of the current volume is simply off-limits to most
participants. The resulting markets in many option products are tight
but thin, making it difficult for both retail and institutional traders
to accomplish their trading goals. At the same time, the drive to
generate volume at any cost has polluted the options market with a host
of volume exploits.
There are obviously many people who still draw a great deal of economic
utility from the options market. But "volume growth at any cost" has become a far too common refrain in the options world. It would be more productive to focus on improving the quality of the existing
volume rather than dumping more dubious contracts into an already polluted pie. This would improve the overall experience of all market participants by delivering more economic utility across the board.
Some of these changes would be relatively simple to implement (e.g., an industry-wide push to stem the growth of volume exploits, etc.). Others would require more time and regulatory effort (e.g, removing underperforming classes from the penny pilot, establishing clearer rules on crossed volume, etc.). But the benefits to all market participants are clear, especially when compared to yet another year of unchecked, and perhaps even misleading, volume growth.
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Mark S. Longo is the founder of www.TheOptionsInsider.com. An options trader and former member of the Chicago Board Options Exchange, he is also the creator of The Options Observer, a monthly examination of the options industry that appears in Traders Magazine.
Over the years, Mr. Longo's analysis of the options market has appeared in a wide variety of domestic and international publications. As one of the few industry commentators with practical options experience, he has developed a substantial following among industry veterans and newcomers looking for insight into this complicated marketplace.