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Grain Highlights for 1.04.10


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Highlights

  • Grains sharply higher overnight on new-year buying and outside markets strength; Many grain bulls are anticipating getting some assistance from fund traders this month as large equity re-balances itself
  • Chinese soybean demand still running rampant, however a slow-down in demand for US beans is expected once a massive South American crop becomes available to importers
  • US$ sharply lower today with most major commodities including gold, silver and crude all sharply higher; Equities up modestly
  • Corn barely missing multi-month highs overnight; Many now looking for Dec corn to test major resistance near 4.70; Beans again approaching recent highs on major rally last week and into the overnight trade
  • Question is now whether or we'll fund buyers follow through with their new year grain buying; Stories towards the second half of '09 indicated that major firms such as UBS and other would extend grain length
  • USDA to issue final crop production report on Tues, Jan 12

Weather

  • More snow to hit the plains and into the Midwest starting tomorrow; Most of the country looking at very cold temperatures this week which should continue through the 6-10 day period, at least in the eastern US
  • 6-10 day looking mostly dry for the US

Email Joe for this week's trade idea!  jvaclavik@mfglobal.com

 

 



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About the author


Joe Vaclavik began his career in the brokerage industry working for a prominent ag-marketing firm. He worked primarily with grain and livestock producers in developing cash marketing plans and viable hedging strategies. Now at MF Global, Joe continues to work with a large number of grain and livestock producers across North America and also works with both private and institutional speculative traders. He prides himself on providing traders with his personal research and has worked hard to ensure the success of his clients. Joe authors his Grain Wire every morning which includes outlook and trade recommendations. He also issues a weekly Grain Marketing Update which advises producers on cash grain and hedge positions. Joe can be reached directly at (877) 310-5643 or at jvaclavik@mfglobal.com.

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