rounded corner
rounded corner
top border

Concern About Increasing U.S. Debt Pressures Dollar


The U.S. Dollar traded most of the day in a range and finished lower.  With the lack of major economic news this week, global investors were forced to worry about another round of U.S. debt.  Throughout the week, the Treasury is going to add to its already massive debt pile by another $118 billion.  

Aside from the debt worries, trading is thin and lifeless ahead of the New Year holiday. One can only speculate as to where the Forex markets want to go, but without major player participation, large movements are expected to be muted throughout the week. Technical factors could drive the Dollar lower because of overbought conditions.  Chart patterns indicate there is room to the downside before the Dollar hits meaningful support.

The EUR USD is up slightly near the close.  A new main bottom was formed at 1.4217.  The chart pattern suggests that upside momentum may be building for a possible run at 1.4680 over the near-term.  Concerns over U.S. debt issues are encouraging traders to lighten up their short Euro positions.

The GBP USD is appears to be building a small support base.  The lack of fresh negative news has led to the absence of sellers.  Watch for a short-covering rally if 1.6022 is penetrated.

The USD JPY traded inside of a tight range but managed to eke out a small gain. Upside momentum is slowing which makes this market vulnerable to a short-term correction.  The daily chart pattern suggests a possible pull-back to 90.77 over the near-term. Investors seem content with holding this market in a range until after the first of the year when fresh economic data will be made available.

The old top at 1.0337 appears to be forming short-term support for the USD CHF.  If this support fails, this market could accelerate to the downside.  The current pattern suggests a break to 1.0212 is possible over the near-term.

The USD CAD closed under a key retracement level at 1.0459. This action triggered an acceleration to the downside. The next downside target is 1.0405. A break through this level will reaffirm the downtrend.
 
The AUD USD rallied off the 50% price at .8780.  The current strength has helped form a main bottom at .8734.  The short-term charts suggest a rally back to .8964 is likely over the near-term before new selling pressure surfaces. Stronger demand for higher yields helped to support the Aussie.

Short-covering and demand for higher yielding assets helped to push the NZD USD higher.  Thin trading conditions also helped underpin the market. A new main range has formed between .7318 - .6970.  Upside momentum could drive this market to .7144 before selling pressure resumes. Firm global equity markets and weak Treasuries are stirring up demand for higher yielding assets.


http://wwww.BrewerFX.com
 
Contact Us:
Local: 312-896-3930
Toll Free: 800-971-2440

Email: Info@BrewerFX.com
Website: www.BrewerFX.com  


DISCLAIMER: Forex (off-exchange foreign currency futures and options or FX) trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. The value of currencies may fluctuate and investors may lose all or more than their original investments. Risks also include, but are not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price and/or liquidity of a currency. The impact of seasonal and geopolitical events is already factored into market prices. Prices in the underlying cash or physical markets do not necessarily move in tandem with futures and options prices. The leveraged nature of FX trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds and such may work against you as well as for you. In no event should the content of this correspondence be construed as an express or implied promise or guarantee from B.I.G. Forex, LLC and Brewer Investment Group, LLC or its subsidiaries and/or affiliates that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Loss-limiting strategies such as stop loss orders may not be effective because market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders. Likewise, strategies using combinations of positions such as “spread” or “straddle” trades may be just as risky as simple long and short positions. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information contained in this correspondence is intended for informational purposes only and was obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted.

Bookmark and Share

Recent articles from this author



About the author


About the Author:

Jim Hyerczyk, Senior Market Analyst and technical writer for Brewer Futures Group.  He is a member of the Markets Technicians Association and holds a Masters degree in Financial Markets and Trading from the Illinois Institute of Technology and is registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor.

 

About the Company: 

BrewerFX brings you the very best in Forex Trading (off-exchange foreign currency futures and options). BrewerFX provides a one-stop portal for the serious Forex trader.

Our experts have completed the due diligence process and have gathered together the finest collection of superior platforms. No need to search further; the industry's most accommodating trading platforms are all on one site.

You no longer need to test and try a multitude of platforms to find the best ones in the industry. We have done the work for you so that you can focus on what is important - your trading. We offer each client a licensed broker knowledgeable in the markets as well as online platforms.

Published by Barchart
Home  •  Charts & Quotes  •  Commentary  •  Authors  •  Education  •  Broker Search  •  Trading Tools  •  Help  •  Contact  •  Advertise With Us  •  Commodities
Markets: Currencies  •   Energies  •   Financials  •   Grains  •   Indices  •   Meats  •   Metals  •   Softs

The information contained on InsideFutures.com is believed to be accurate but is not guaranteed. Market data is furnished on an exchange delayed basis by Barchart.com. Data transmission or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. No information on the site, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any futures or options contracts. InsideFutures.com is not a broker, nor does it have an affiliation with any broker.

Copyright ©2005-2010 InsideFutures.com, a Barchart.com product. All rights reserved.

About Us  •   Sitemap  •   Legal  •   Privacy Statement