
SETTLEMENTS 12/01

Corn and wheat closed lower while bean prices were mixed. Beans and wheat were strong early in the day but prices set back during the last part of the session. It looked like traders rushed to buy the market early waiting for new fund buying to come into the market to start the month. However, when the money failed to show up, everyone who bought it early raced to get out.
The biggest factor for the soybean market remains the outside markets. Investment money continues to enter all commodities including soybeans. Fundamentally, soybean prices look to be overvalued. Good South American weather and more available U.S. acres this spring should help global stock rise sharply in the coming 9 months. Imported soybeans into China are around the same price as their domestic soybeans. This could also start to limit Chinese imports in the coming months. However, the trend is up right now. Most bears are tired of "fighting" this market and until the market turns down and the investment buying slows down, few speculators will be willing to sell the market. We still believe this current soybean rally is giving the American producer a great selling opportunity. We sold another 10% for 2010 crops to bring us up to 40 % sold.
The corn market has been awaiting the EPA's decision on whether or not they will increase blending rates for U.S. ethanol. However, the EPA came out before the open and said they are going to be delaying their decision. Basically we don't know what the EPA is going to say or when the funds are going to stop buying the market. However, what we do know is that export demand is not great, feed margins are dwindling and we are going to have more available acres in the spring.
Get More From EHedger.
Our commentaries are just one part of our whole risk management service. Please go to http://www.ehedger.com/getmore.html for a free two-week trial of our full member website that gives you access to all our hedge and marketing recommendations, educational tools, market snapshots and much more.
Also learn about our acclaimed AMMO Program that helps producers optimize their marketing strategies using the premier tools and insights in the industry.
Get Organized. Get Ahead. Get EHedger
Trading commodity futures and options involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. The market information contained in this message has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to its accuracy or completeness. Market information may not be consistent with current or future market positions of E Hedger, its affiliates, officers, directors, employees, or agents. Recipients assume the risk of reliance on and indemnify and hold E Hedger harmless for any and all losses, costs, or tax consequences incurred as a result of their use of market information.









