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EHedger Closing Grains Commentary 11/18/09


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SETTLEMENTS 11/17

Grain Settlement - 11-18

 

Corn, beans, and wheat all opened firmly higher, but closed today's session lower.  Today's action signals a key reversal, but will need to be confirmed tomorrow.  Higher markets this morning was a continuation of the uptrend and once again signaled the strength that outside markets and "investment funds" can add to the market.  At one point January beans traded 20-higher and at the highest level since August, while December wheat also traded to highs not seen since August.  Corn fell just short of the October highs.  These prices are trading near/through some key resistance levels, so once again technical traders will place a lot of emphasis on closing prices the remainder of the week.  If today's reversal holds, it appears to signal a short to mid-term change in price movement and the grain markets could easily pull back 5-15 cents in corn and 20-30 in beans by week's end.  Just keep in mind that big money flow will be the biggest influence on the market here in the short term.  Also, keep in mind that this Friday is December option expiration.  The $4.00 strike price in December corn carries a lot of open interest and currently futures are at $3.98. 

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Justin Kelly grew up working on his family's farm in western Illinois, and has been intimately involved in the agricultural industry his entire life. After graduating from Purdue University with a BS degree in Agribusiness Management, Justin was a CBOT member and corn pit broker for Iowa Grain Co. In 2006 Justin went on to lead Iowa Grain's research department. Today as President and Principle of EHedger, Justin applies his hands on experience of both farming and futures trading to helping producers and merchandisers implement solid risk management strategies tailored to their specific requirements.

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