This report was sent to subscribers on 11/14/09 8:40 a.m. Chicago time to be used for trading on 11/16/09. Everything is done by Howard Tyllas, no program or black box.
December Natural Gas
After the close on 11/16/09: My resistance was 4.670, just .014 from the actual high, and my pivot acted as support and was 4.373, just .009 from the actual low.
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4.670 FG |
4.517 |
--------------4.373 Pivot & contract low |
4.230 |
|
|
Trend |
5 day chart ......... Down |
Daily chart .........Down |
Weekly chart ........Down |
Monthly chart Down 5.482 is the 200 day MA |
ATR .220 Oversold 15% |
December Natural Gas Chart

I continue to say "Bulls need to hurdle the strong resistance of the downtrend line in order to start a correction". Bears target of the September's low was met.
Notice how orderly and perfect the resistance that this steep downtrend line has provided.
This is one market that holds its steep trend lines longer and more often than any other market I chart right now.
December Nat Gas for 11/16/09:
In my daily numbers on Friday; my resistance was .058 from the actual high, my pivot acted as support and was .053 from the actual low.
Natural Gas: My target was met at the September low and went beyond to get all the stops below, and then closed higher which bodes well for further gains on Monday. People, who have waited to buy, now have a location that could provide a good risk reward level. I would use my numbers to get long but prefer to buy near my support rather than the pivot unless you are aggressive, and use a sell stop about .025 below to protect. I would not look for a correction beyond the gap at 4.670 until I see more bars on the chart. Bears are in control but might have buy stops above 4.517.
I always use stops because I do not want to see how wrong I can be. I am never worried what the market will do once I am out, if it turns around and I would have made money I do not lose money, I just do not make it, but remember the trade had its parameters and that is where I said I would be wrong, and if I do not have a stop and the market continues to go against me, I will lose more money. The stop prevents uncontrolled losses if continued wrong, you do not lose money if it turns around, just do not make it.
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Howard Tyllas
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Disclaimer: No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Futures trading involve risk. In no event should the content of this be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from Howard Tyllas, that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. No such promises, guarantees or implications are given. Past results are no indication of future performance.









