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December Crude Oil Daily Numbers & Trade Ideas for 11/16/09
Monday, November 16, 2009

This report was sent to subscribers on 11/14/09 8:40 a.m. Chicago time to be used for trading on 11/16/09. Everything is done by Howard Tyllas, no program or black box.

December Crude Oil

After the close on 11/16/09: My resistance was 79.69, 0.26 from the actual high, and my pivot acted as support and was 76.72, 0.37 from the actual low.

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79.69
78.73
--------------76.72      Pivot
74.71 FG                  Support near Green Uptrend Line
73.30

Trend
5 day chart .........   Down
Daily chart   ......... Up
Weekly chart ........ Up
Monthly chart ...... Sideways   66.58 is the 200 DMA
ATR 2.50                 Oversold 14%

December Crude Oil Chart

The red bracket line was breeched on Friday. This line is pivotal now, green uptrend line supports at $74.

Dec. Crude Oil for 11/16/09

I have been saying for 3 weeks "What the equities market & the $ does from here, will help or hurt crude oil".

In my daily numbers on Friday my resistance was $1.06 from the actual high; my support was $1.26 from the actual low. 1/2 way rule worked well today.

Crude Oil: I have been looking for $73/74 for some time now, saying how the supply/demand did not really matter, but was the reason I wanted to sell rallies. This week I am looking for the uptrend line to hold or maybe my target of $73 when the line was there along with other chart indications, and resistance to be solid near $80. I prefer to sell rallies when near $79 rather than here. Bulls (and I am not one of them) might try and buy near $74 early in the week looking for crude oil to be higher by the end of the week.

Want to know what I think for tomorrow?

The 9 markets now covered daily are November soybeans, December corn, December crude oil, December S&P, December Euro FX, December 30 yr TBond, December gold, December natural gas, and December cattle.

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May Your Next Trade Be The Best

Howard Tyllas

Tel.1-312-573-2699, 1-312-961-4390

Disclaimer: No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Futures trading involve risk. In no event should the content of this be construed as an express or implied promise, guarantee or implication by or from Howard Tyllas, that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. No such promises, guarantees or implications are given. Past results are no indication of future performance.

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About the author

Currently a member of The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a floor broker and as a Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA). I am the President of Futures Flight, an Introducing Broker (IB) for MF Global, and a member of the National Futures Association (NFA). I started my career in 1973 on The Chicago Mercantile Exchange trading floor working for a major firm. Three years later I purchased my first membership and began what would become a thirteen-year commitment to trading soybeans for my own account on the trading floor. I began trading options on futures since their inception in Chicago about twenty years ago; doing so, I traded in various pits on the trade floor.

I day traded from 2000-2002 for Schoenfeld Securities (a major proprietary trade firm), and then continued to trade at Sheppard Int. for Jump Trading, LLC. I concentrated on the emini S&P and NASDAQ, trading them “upstairs” on a screen. One of the major lessons that I have learned from all my years of experience is that knowledge is an important condition for the possibility of successful trading. Knowledge gives you a better chance to succeed by eliminating obvious mistakes: with it, you will never find yourself shamefully uttering, “If I only took the time to learn”.

I want to save you from such regrets by teaching you where the danger is, what it looks like, and how to go around it, while still keeping an eye on your destination of success. In short, I will teach you how to combat error with knowledge.
My mission is to educate you, giving you my 34 years experience, wisdom, and knowledge from which you will then be able to use and benefit from at will. For you, I will be a personal trainer, coach, mentor, overseer, market strategist, consultant, and advisor. I know what will help you make money, and I know what will insure failure. Use my services and prevent, “If I only knew”.

Howard Tyllas

Futures trading involves the substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not mean future results.

If you have a question, or comment, email me howardtyllas@howardtyllas.com

Visit my website www.farmerhedge.com

http://www.howardtyllas.com

http://www.futuresflight.com

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