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Financials - Nov 09,2009


The Financials Pit Review

For the week of November 9th, 2009

By PitGuru Frank LaMantia

S&P & Currencies

In case you missed it this weekend, the health care bill was approved to go to the Senate. The House’s plan will cost about 1.2 trillion US dollars over 10 years while the Senate's version is under $900 billion. Another major difference is that the House bill wants employers to create coverage and the Senate does not. Alright, this is the part that ticks me off! The House wants upper income earners to pay for coverage expansion and the Senate wants to use other taxing methods. Great, lets tax the hard working Americans! In all seriousness, everyone should have insurance and they should have bailed out Americans rather than Wall Street thieves. Bailing out everyone that is facing hard times could put the nation in a deeper recession. Unfortunately, doing the right thing may not be the best thing for the masses. The bill is supposedly in no man’s land in the Senate.

This week has fewer economic reports than last week but this does not make it any less important. On November 12th Initial Claims, Continuing Claims, Crude Inventories, and the Treasury Budget numbers will be released. Friday the 13th, Import Prices, Export Prices, Trade Balance, and the Michigan Sentiment will be shown. Last week a horrible 10.2% unemployment number did not deter the market from riding upward. Does this mean the market may have little resistance? No, this just means bad economic data might not affect trading as much as it once did. You see the market expects jobs losses, foreclosures, bankruptcies, and maybe some write-offs of a few banks to mount. The market does not like surprises!1

The stock market is up in early morning trading because the G20 met over the weekend. The positive nature of the meeting has given a lift to the market. The meeting (comprised of 20 world leaders) agreed to keep their stimulus plans untouched.2  The S&P (near 1075.00 this morning) has been trading in a sporadic trend with no clear direction.

1 http://biz.yahoo.com/c/e.html
2 http://www.reuters.com/article/mergersNews/idUSN0925794820091109

***chart courtesy Gecko Software
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.


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Daniel Cronin has spent years on the floor of the Nymex as part of one of the largest energy floor brokerages in the business. His extensive experience stems from not only his Pit background but also through intense studying and implementation of complex technical analysis and market trading techniques via the mentorship of the now retired Ralph Acampora. Mr. Cronin brings subscribers a rare combination of book smarts and real world trading experience in one of the most volatile market sectors in the futures industry.

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