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EHedger Grains Market Commentary 9/15/09


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SETTLEMENTS 9/15

Grain Settlement - 9-15

Corn, beans and wheat were all sharply higher during the session. A frost forecast for the northern Midwest at the end of next week appears to be the main factor behind today's strength. However, the frost forecast was out Sunday night and yet the market waited until today to react. Along with the frost, general commodity strength and technical buying added to today's strength.

At this point the frost forecast is still a long way off.  In between now and the end of next week we will have over 20 model runs to watch before we get to the frost. To see what type of damage the weather will actually do, we will have to wait and see exactly how cold the weather gets and how far south the cold temps actually reach.  No matter how the forecast comes out what we do know is that prices are over 44 cents off the lows we made last Tuesday. There are lots of producers that are way behind on sales and have grain they have to move in the next 60 days no matter what prices do.  We recommend...  In addition, those of you that are caught up on 2009 crop should be looking forward at the 2010.  Dec 2010 got up to 397 ½ today.  With the current input cost and a solid crop, these are levels that should make producers good money next year.  Please give us a call to discuss the different strategies.  

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Justin Kelly grew up working on his family's farm in western Illinois, and has been intimately involved in the agricultural industry his entire life. After graduating from Purdue University with a BS degree in Agribusiness Management, Justin was a CBOT member and corn pit broker for Iowa Grain Co. In 2006 Justin went on to lead Iowa Grain's research department. Today as President and Principle of EHedger, Justin applies his hands on experience of both farming and futures trading to helping producers and merchandisers implement solid risk management strategies tailored to their specific requirements.

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