Dollar 'Drops' on Equity Rally.
Monday, July 20, 2009
by Bob Kozak of C3I Capital Management, LLC
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Dollar Index (DXU9): The DX opened lower at 78.99 and slid to a morning Lo of 78.925 as equity markets rallied on the likelihood of a $3.0B 'loan' to CIT Group, helping to stave off a bankruptcy filling. Equity traders left the 'safe-haven' of Treasuries and took on more 'risk' for higher potential reward. A better than expected report from the Conference Board, showed economic indicators rose +0.7% fueled the flames, before equities slid, sending the DX to a moring Hi of 79.22. As the equity markets rebounded into the close, the DX drifted to a day-session close of 79.06, down 54 tics. The s/t trend remains 'negative' w/weak momentum indicators. Look for a test of the Target Lo of 78.83 on 6/2. Shorts should tighten 'stops' or buy 'calls' to reduce exposure. Traders will key on foreign equity market activity to determine if further 'risk-taking' will weigh on the Dollar. A lower open may find Support at 78.78 and 78.51, while an open above 79.19 should find Resistance at 79.46 and 79.87.
Recent articles from this author
- Dollar 'Pauses' Ahead of FOMC Results. - Tuesday, August 11, 2009
- Cable Breaks Out on PMI Report, DX Drop. - Monday, August 03, 2009
- Sterling 'Shines' As Housing & Stocks Prices Increase. - Thursday, July 30, 2009
- Chinese Equity Correction Sparks Flight to Quality in DX. - Wednesday, July 29, 2009
- Canadian Sets New High for 2009. - Monday, July 27, 2009
About the author
Bob Kozak, Currency Futures Analyst
C3I Capital Management, LLC Bob Kozak is the Senior Currency Futures Analyst and Managing Principal at C3I Capital Management, LLC. He has been involved in the financial markets since 1978, when he was recruited as portfolio strategist for a major Wall Street firm. With a degree in Mathematics from the University of Massachusetts, he was drawn towards technical analysis. He moved into the retail sector as a Certified Financial Planner, assisting clients in structuring an investment portfolio suitable for their particular needs, emphasizing income and risk management. A unique opportunity to mentor under a former Chairman of the Chicago Board of Trade enticed Bob into the commodities arena. Bob eventually managed the office of his mentor, before the firm was purchased and relocated to Chicago. Bob follows most futures markets using primarily Technical Analysis, and takes advantage of the strong correlation between the U.S. Dollar Index and those futures purchased in Dollars. You can request a FREE 2-week trial subscription of PROBABLE DAILY & WEEKLY TRADING RANGES by calling Bob at (561) 674-0014 or email at bkozak@C3ICapital.com Bob has been a frequent contributor to many national publications, including Futures Magazine, Dow Jones Newswire, and Bloomberg FX -TV.
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