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Canadian Dollar 'Higher' on Improved Sales Survey.


Canadian Dollar (CDU9):

The CD opened higher at .8604 and slid to a morning Lo of .8579, before following equity markets higher, after a bullish survey from the BoC showing the nation's businesses were the most optimistic in almost a decade on projected sales. Prices rose to a daily Hi of .8685, as the DX retraced on an increase in risk-appetite, before drifting lower to a close of .8677, up 75 tics. The close above the 10-day MA changes the s/t trend to 'positive' w/neutral momentum indicators. In order for prices to continue higher, crude oil prices have to increase to increase export revenues. A higher open should find Resistance at .8718 and .8758, while an open below .8644 may find Support at .8603 and .8529.

Dollar Index (DXU9):

The DX opened lower at 80.35 and rose to a morning Hi of 80.62 as equity markets retraced. A 'bullish' earnings report on Goldman Sachs and the banking sector helped the financials push equity prices higher through to the close, sending the DX lower to a day-session close of 80.31, down 12 tics. The s/t trend remains 'negative' w/neutral momentum indicators. Traders will see if the rally in the equity markets continue to increase 'risk-appetite' or lead to profit-taking as 'buy the rumor....' kicks in. A lower open may find Support at 80.12 and 79.93, while an open above 80.41 should find Resistance at 80.60 and 80.89. 

Euro Currency (ECU9):

The EC opened higher at 1.3976 as equity markets improved in Europe and the DX lower ahead of the U.S. open. As U.S. equity markets improved and the DX retraced, the EC rose off the 1.3915 morning Lo and climbed to a daily Hi of 1.4003, before ending the day-session at 1.3974, up 24 tics. The s/t trend remains 'negative' w/neutral momentum indicators. A continuation of hgher equity prices should support the EC. A higher open should find Resistance at 1.4012 and 1.4050, while an open below 1.3955 may find Support at 1.3917 and 1.3880.  


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About the author


Bob Kozak, Currency Futures Analyst
C3I Capital Management, LLC

Bob Kozak is the Senior Currency Futures Analyst and Managing Principal  at C3I Capital Management, LLC. He has been involved in the financial markets since 1978, when he was recruited as portfolio strategist for a major Wall Street firm. With a degree in Mathematics from the University of Massachusetts, he was drawn towards technical analysis. He moved into the retail sector as a Certified Financial Planner, assisting clients in structuring an investment portfolio suitable for their particular needs, emphasizing income and risk management. A unique opportunity to mentor under a former Chairman of the Chicago Board of Trade enticed Bob into the commodities arena. Bob eventually managed the office of his mentor, before the firm was purchased and relocated to Chicago.

Bob follows most futures markets using primarily Technical Analysis, and takes advantage of the strong correlation between the U.S. Dollar Index and those futures purchased in Dollars. You can request a FREE 2-week trial subscription of 

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by calling Bob at (561) 674-0014 or email at bkozak@C3ICapital.com

Bob has been a frequent contributor to many national publications, including Futures Magazine, Dow Jones Newswire, and Bloomberg FX -TV.

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