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Sterling Continues To Attract Value Buyers.


British Pound (BPM9):

Sterling opened higher at 1.5966 and rose to a Daily Hi at our secondary level of Resistance of 1.6084 as traders continued to add to what were considered 'undervalued' levels. While the Euro saw some proftit-taking after the ECB said further rate cuts were possible, traders rotated into Sterling as fund-managers look for higher prices. Traders took a little off the top today after stalling at the Resistance level, sending prices lower into the close of 1.6045, up 120 tics. The s/t trend remains 'positive' w/over-bot momentum indicators. Longs should tighten 'stops' or buy 'puts' to reduce exposure. A higher open should find Resistance at 1.6111 and 1.6177, while an open below 1.6018 may find Support at 1.5952 and 1.5859. 

Dollar Index (DXM9):

The DX opened higher at 80.525 and drifted to a morning Lo of 80.035 as traders show concern about possible loss of its AAA credit rating and less need for safe-haven assets. Higher Crude Oil prices and continued strength in Sterling weighed on prices, until equity markets retraced and risk-aversion helped prices higher into the day-session close of 80.415, up 21 tics. Prices moved higher on globex, hitting 80.98 ahead of the globex close. The s/t trend remains 'negative'w/weak momentum indicators. Traders will adjust positions ahead of the 'end-of-month close, which could see some extended volatility. Shorts should tighten 'stops' or buy 'calls' to reduces exposure. A higher open should find Resistance at 80.68 and 80.96, while an open below 80.36 may find Support at 80..08 and 79.76.    


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About the author


Bob Kozak, Currency Futures Analyst
C3I Capital Management, LLC

Bob Kozak is the Senior Currency Futures Analyst and Managing Principal  at C3I Capital Management, LLC. He has been involved in the financial markets since 1978, when he was recruited as portfolio strategist for a major Wall Street firm. With a degree in Mathematics from the University of Massachusetts, he was drawn towards technical analysis. He moved into the retail sector as a Certified Financial Planner, assisting clients in structuring an investment portfolio suitable for their particular needs, emphasizing income and risk management. A unique opportunity to mentor under a former Chairman of the Chicago Board of Trade enticed Bob into the commodities arena. Bob eventually managed the office of his mentor, before the firm was purchased and relocated to Chicago.

Bob follows most futures markets using primarily Technical Analysis, and takes advantage of the strong correlation between the U.S. Dollar Index and those futures purchased in Dollars. You can request a FREE 2-week trial subscription of 

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by calling Bob at (561) 674-0014 or email at bkozak@C3ICapital.com

Bob has been a frequent contributor to many national publications, including Futures Magazine, Dow Jones Newswire, and Bloomberg FX -TV.

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